{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5bd47dcf-c6e0-4541-b92f-50e8d9d1a6aa", "symbol": "7516", "name": "Sea Mild Biotechnology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.348, "architecture_energy": 38.898, "architecture_maturity": 14.179, "architecture_confidence": 90.218, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.59, "rotation_up": 16.74, "upward_expansion": 6.08, "deceleration": 43.93, "rotation_down": 59.16, "downward_expansion": 84.08 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.695333, 8.805091, 8.976952, 9.123914 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 8.65, "trend_reference": 9.374, "distance_from_trend": -0.077235, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.049615, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.139271, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -35.840763, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.168269, "excess_performance": -0.609641, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.077235, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.032711, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.139271, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019326, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.358408, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.043603, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.168269, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.705603, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 50763, "relative_activity": 0.130308, "balance": 1.705603, "dry_up": 0.19712, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.099778, "annualized_volatility": 0.398794, "from_high_reference": -0.403448, "from_low_reference": 0.07721 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.374, "fair_value_reference": 10.049615, "structural_low": 8.03, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": -0.006916, "positive_rate": 0.46875, "directional_follow_through": 0.53125, "median_excess_return": -0.025076, "regime_survival": 0.84375, "best_return": 3.909091, "worst_return": -0.230769, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.02481, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.076372, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 2.55, "worst_return": -0.287143, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.029719, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.199571, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 2.567839, "worst_return": -0.431429, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"activity_lines": [ 8.810667, 8.999273, 9.109286, 9.273011 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.73, "volume": 63673, "typical_volume": 400442.55, "trend": 9.465667, "fair_value": 10.097372, "relative_strength": -33.097196, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.053446, "energy": 44.806044, "activity_lines": [ 8.761333, 8.927636, 9.06581, 9.222817 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.7, "volume": 87299, "typical_volume": 393591.45, "trend": 9.417333, "fair_value": 10.072372, "relative_strength": -34.012296, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.832123, "energy": 41.113965, "activity_lines": [ 8.726667, 8.866364, 9.02219, 9.173419 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 8.65, "volume": 50763, "typical_volume": 389561.95, "trend": 9.374, "fair_value": 10.049615, "relative_strength": -35.840763, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.348382, "energy": 38.898338, "activity_lines": [ 8.695333, 8.805091, 8.976952, 9.123914 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }