{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5bde939b-318a-4a64-ae30-368db898c5df",
    "symbol": "GENDEE",
    "name": "UBS Global Gender Equality UCITS ETF hEUR acc",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 48.362,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 91.842,
    "architecture_energy": 94.866,
    "architecture_maturity": 34.92,
    "architecture_confidence": 55.368,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 5.06,
        "rotation_up": 85.0,
        "upward_expansion": 97.31,
        "deceleration": 41.97,
        "rotation_down": 9.12,
        "downward_expansion": 21.65
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        27.227979
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 28.645,
    "trend_reference": 26.985334,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.061503,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 23.22218,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.233519,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -6.743514,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.067449,
    "excess_performance": -0.103442,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.061503,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.021862,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.233519,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.043886,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.067435,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.009113,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.067449,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.112365,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 54,
      "relative_activity": 0.013598,
      "balance": 0.112365,
      "dry_up": 0.321569,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.012876,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.107455,
      "from_high_reference": -0.000523,
      "from_low_reference": 0.174457
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 23.22218,
      "structural_low": 25.059999,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 38,
        "median_return": 0.006611,
        "positive_rate": 0.578947,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.578947,
        "median_excess_return": -0.005431,
        "regime_survival": 0.763158,
        "best_return": 0.057143,
        "worst_return": -0.068231,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.100901,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": 0.034385,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.096711,
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 1904.9,
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        "fair_value": 22.468372,
        "relative_strength": -5.678645,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.923586,
        "energy": 45.816039,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 1926.85,
        "trend": 26.268167,
        "fair_value": 22.519551,
        "relative_strength": -7.654829,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 62464,
        "typical_volume": 4720.15,
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        "relative_strength": -8.647148,
        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 4669.15,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 4539.05,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "trend": 26.4695,
        "fair_value": 22.724718,
        "relative_strength": -7.814754,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "fair_value": 22.777821,
        "relative_strength": -8.876538,
        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 22.886577,
        "relative_strength": -7.589284,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.710326,
        "energy": 72.23226,
        "activity_lines": [
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          26.788925
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 27.73,
        "volume": 1085,
        "typical_volume": 4146.5,
        "trend": 26.706334,
        "fair_value": 22.944423,
        "relative_strength": -9.230619,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 82.878329,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 27.465,
        "volume": 4,
        "typical_volume": 4121.1,
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        "fair_value": 22.997558,
        "relative_strength": -9.48917,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.74848,
        "energy": 76.248243,
        "activity_lines": [
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          27.280273,
          27.026334,
          26.907979
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 27.674999,
        "volume": 361,
        "typical_volume": 3801.65,
        "trend": 26.807667,
        "fair_value": 23.050039,
        "relative_strength": -7.300503,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.872869,
        "energy": 82.765792,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.565,
          27.383818,
          27.106429,
          26.967204
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 27.705,
        "volume": 4332,
        "typical_volume": 4013.15,
        "trend": 26.856,
        "fair_value": 23.102481,
        "relative_strength": -6.848879,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.970363,
        "energy": 81.305923,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.637333,
          27.476727,
          27.187762,
          27.025097
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 28.280001,
        "volume": 361,
        "typical_volume": 3980.2,
        "trend": 26.924334,
        "fair_value": 23.160686,
        "relative_strength": -5.377156,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.671273,
        "energy": 86.994024,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.860333,
          27.649909,
          27.318524,
          27.116968
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 28.645,
        "volume": 54,
        "typical_volume": 3971.15,
        "trend": 26.985334,
        "fair_value": 23.22218,
        "relative_strength": -6.743514,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 91.84239,
        "energy": 94.866253,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.151667,
          27.864909,
          27.474929,
          27.227979
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}