{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5bf6a2ad-0738-4a82-8aa3-e7eb2df60b1f", "symbol": "IVG", "name": "Iveco Group N.V.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 52.443, "architecture_energy": 69.571, "architecture_maturity": 34.456, "architecture_confidence": 56.255, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.57, "rotation_up": 45.83, "upward_expansion": 75.33, "deceleration": 63.48, "rotation_down": 28.0, "downward_expansion": 34.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.911, 13.920182, 13.906774, 13.808866 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 13.905, "trend_reference": 13.656488, "distance_from_trend": 0.018197, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.646051, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.441523, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.153109, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.050218, "excess_performance": -0.124029, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.018197, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021682, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.441523, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.117016, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.151531, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.070663, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.050218, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": null, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": null, "dry_up": 0.0, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.002766, "annualized_volatility": 0.044231, "from_high_reference": -0.011376, "from_low_reference": 0.096031 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.656488, "fair_value_reference": 9.646051, "structural_low": 13.233106, "invalidation": "A decisive 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13.726972 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 13.95, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 250.4, "trend": 13.584845, "fair_value": 9.496519, "relative_strength": -12.443762, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.274634, "energy": 64.899001, "activity_lines": [ 13.944333, 13.935182, 13.874106, 13.752238 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.92, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 250.4, "trend": 13.609609, "fair_value": 9.548733, "relative_strength": -13.38358, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.315698, "energy": 86.441602, "activity_lines": [ 13.938667, 13.933, 13.889493, 13.773861 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.88, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 250.4, "trend": 13.632807, "fair_value": 9.595844, "relative_strength": -13.191217, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.577468, "energy": 77.884871, "activity_lines": [ 13.92, 13.923818, 13.898267, 13.791305 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.905, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 250.4, "trend": 13.656488, "fair_value": 9.646051, "relative_strength": -15.153109, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.443118, "energy": 69.570624, "activity_lines": [ 13.911, 13.920182, 13.906774, 13.808866 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }