{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5c1d196f-e571-4ee0-bf65-b61bda75dae5", "symbol": "JPM", "name": "JPMorgan Chase & Co.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 73.672, "architecture_energy": 78.324, "architecture_maturity": 23.772, "architecture_confidence": 63.956, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.03, "rotation_up": 82.64, "upward_expansion": 94.4, "deceleration": 44.49, "rotation_down": 10.02, "downward_expansion": 16.4 }, "activity_lines": [ 306.543331, 299.774128, 286.018171, 277.605119 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 308.399994, "trend_reference": 268.83924, "distance_from_trend": 0.147154, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 213.382914, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.445289, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.335565, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.13855, "excess_performance": -0.035697, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.147154, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032022, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.445289, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.165447, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.053356, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.093861, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.13855, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 7.545455, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 405, "relative_activity": 2.031093, "balance": 7.545455, "dry_up": 1.911986, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.033939, "annualized_volatility": 0.197279, "from_high_reference": -0.025746, "from_low_reference": 0.279401 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 268.83924, "fair_value_reference": 213.382914, "structural_low": 241.050222, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 37, "median_return": 0.021067, "positive_rate": 0.648649, "directional_follow_through": 0.648649, "median_excess_return": 0.006974, "regime_survival": 0.783784, "best_return": 0.109263, "worst_return": -0.108302, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.083073, "positive_rate": 0.692308, "directional_follow_through": 0.692308, "median_excess_return": 0.041597, "regime_survival": 0.538462, "best_return": 0.151403, "worst_return": -0.122307, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.125408, "positive_rate": 0.875, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": -0.037461, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.272322, "worst_return": -0.038904, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"relative_strength": -3.026896, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.680641, "energy": 87.103562, "activity_lines": [ 304.020001, 295.98943, 282.620193, 274.997543 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 308.399994, "volume": 405, "typical_volume": 199.4, "trend": 268.83924, "fair_value": 213.382914, "relative_strength": -5.335565, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.672089, "energy": 78.323889, "activity_lines": [ 306.543331, 299.774128, 286.018171, 277.605119 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }