{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5c2f9f73-8958-4d6e-aac5-e718517fec5f", "symbol": "VGT", "name": "Vanguard Information Technology Index Fund ETF Shares", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.0, "architecture_energy": 68.1, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 86.641, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.34, "rotation_up": 30.0, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 61.0, "rotation_down": 53.84, "downward_expansion": 83.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 2018.115332, 2023.406075, 2149.510428, 3775.160918 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 2080.0, "trend_reference": 6293.104008, "distance_from_trend": -0.669479, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9979.408511, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.791571, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -78.683697, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.836578, "excess_performance": -0.781912, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.669479, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.382739, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.791571, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.023535, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.786837, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.069178, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.836578, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.198291, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 166033, "relative_activity": 2.374539, "balance": 2.198291, "dry_up": 1.744303, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.044169, "annualized_volatility": 2.87578, "from_high_reference": -0.859808, "from_low_reference": 0.31229 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6293.104008, "fair_value_reference": 9979.408511, 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"activity_lines": [ 2012.587329, 2025.991053, 2489.902858, 4401.32799 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1966.0, "volume": 109562, "typical_volume": 62176.35, "trend": 6681.3113, "fair_value": 10012.128629, "relative_strength": -80.350076, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.085398, "energy": 91.279888, "activity_lines": [ 1995.104663, 2014.028445, 2288.246343, 4072.019711 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2080.0, "volume": 166033, "typical_volume": 69922.2, "trend": 6293.104008, "fair_value": 9979.408511, "relative_strength": -78.683697, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.999996, "energy": 68.09999, "activity_lines": [ 2018.115332, 2023.406075, 2149.510428, 3775.160918 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }