{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5c3a58a9-be75-4647-8d84-785d60378a44", "symbol": "INTC", "name": "Intel Corporation", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 7.968, "architecture_energy": 22.96, "architecture_maturity": 79.542, "architecture_confidence": 69.414, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.17, "rotation_up": 15.96, "upward_expansion": 46.5, "deceleration": 87.96, "rotation_down": 42.76, "downward_expansion": 29.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 1673.984652, 1826.280722, 1849.282753, 1665.784767 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 1735.339966, "trend_reference": 1408.81933, "distance_from_trend": 0.231769, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 719.82827, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.410769, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 59.156195, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.994644, "excess_performance": 1.04931, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.231769, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.400008, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.410769, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.130056, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.591562, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.239896, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.994644, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.244151, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 41167, "relative_activity": 0.802055, "balance": 0.244151, "dry_up": 0.916532, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.164801, "annualized_volatility": 0.831353, "from_high_reference": -0.255219, "from_low_reference": 3.610606 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1408.81933, "fair_value_reference": 719.82827, "structural_low": 739.200012, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.032825, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.079031, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.980661, "worst_return": -0.244271, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.104651, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.047558, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 1.479469, "worst_return": -0.282416, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.023438, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.092432, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.994457, "worst_return": -0.437071, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"energy": 25.380934, "activity_lines": [ 1689.885335, 1864.070728, 1842.571946, 1642.75079 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1735.339966, "volume": 41167, "typical_volume": 51326.9, "trend": 1408.81933, "fair_value": 719.82827, "relative_strength": 59.156195, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.96815, "energy": 22.960009, "activity_lines": [ 1673.984652, 1826.280722, 1849.282753, 1665.784767 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }