{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5c3b941c-4318-445e-9bbc-6dc6a1b80a0f",
    "symbol": "LPLA",
    "name": "WisdomTree Platinum 2x Daily Leveraged",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -54.477,
    "architecture_energy": 55.563,
    "architecture_maturity": 91.079,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.728,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 13.81,
        "rotation_up": 27.32,
        "upward_expansion": 21.61,
        "deceleration": 66.52,
        "rotation_down": 50.81,
        "downward_expansion": 73.94
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2.6229,
        2.614355,
        2.967152,
        3.323415
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 2.865,
    "trend_reference": 3.94085,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.272999,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 2.411334,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.188139,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -36.156849,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.365308,
    "excess_performance": -0.5362,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.272999,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.127802,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.188139,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.556309,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.361568,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.341449,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.365308,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.743361,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 897588,
      "relative_activity": 2.336883,
      "balance": 0.743361,
      "dry_up": 1.738208,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.12152,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.613896,
      "from_high_reference": -0.70277,
      "from_low_reference": 0.23385
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 3.94085,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.411334,
      "structural_low": 2.322,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 28,
        "median_return": 0.0547,
        "positive_rate": 0.642857,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.357143,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00084,
        "regime_survival": 0.678571,
        "best_return": 0.361592,
        "worst_return": -0.261532,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.011799,
        "positive_rate": 0.545455,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.454545,
        "median_excess_return": -0.007116,
        "regime_survival": 0.454545,
        "best_return": 1.231513,
        "worst_return": -0.191775,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.000388,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.040864,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
        "best_return": 1.726114,
        "worst_return": -0.275535,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.025443,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.211681,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.707501,
        "worst_return": -0.313695,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.020298,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.235788,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "return": 0.045107,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": true
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "relative_strength": -44.434744,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "direction": -74.746358,
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          2.5263,
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          3.198236,
          3.619675
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 2.4475,
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        "typical_volume": 396582.85,
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        "fair_value": 2.397171,
        "relative_strength": -43.675281,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "direction": -71.216383,
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          2.486733,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.5745,
        "volume": 221884,
        "typical_volume": 383110.9,
        "trend": 4.05285,
        "fair_value": 2.403215,
        "relative_strength": -41.024641,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.884818,
        "energy": 65.105286,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.5062,
          2.592391,
          3.012545,
          3.400051
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.865,
        "volume": 897588,
        "typical_volume": 384096.25,
        "trend": 3.94085,
        "fair_value": 2.411334,
        "relative_strength": -36.156849,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -54.477211,
        "energy": 55.563087,
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          2.6229,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}