{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5c3ea98c-253f-4820-95b4-1b31f859d046",
    "symbol": "DAN",
    "name": "Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A.",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 55.273,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 8.345,
    "architecture_energy": 14.883,
    "architecture_maturity": 46.956,
    "architecture_confidence": 88.933,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 64.26,
        "rotation_up": 16.94,
        "upward_expansion": 45.29,
        "deceleration": 86.59,
        "rotation_down": 36.91,
        "downward_expansion": 27.96
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        67.180001,
        68.586364,
        69.086667,
        67.840646
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 67.050003,
    "trend_reference": 66.221667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.012509,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 38.864288,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.725234,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 1.017039,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.047656,
    "excess_performance": -0.123235,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.012509,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.116901,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.725234,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.212179,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.01017,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.221181,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047656,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.336739,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 298734,
      "relative_activity": 1.484967,
      "balance": 1.336739,
      "dry_up": 1.115692,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.067745,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.348467,
      "from_high_reference": -0.113095,
      "from_low_reference": 0.771809
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 66.221667,
      "fair_value_reference": 38.864288,
      "structural_low": 54.5,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": -0.030114,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.039052,
        "regime_survival": 0.416667,
        "best_return": 0.204991,
        "worst_return": -0.141243,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.140336,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.041457,
        "regime_survival": 0.142857,
        "best_return": 0.39834,
        "worst_return": -0.292365,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.100204,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.058565,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.720143,
        "worst_return": -0.305569,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.168996,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.013364,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.939128,
        "worst_return": -0.198223,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.105624,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-09-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.156716,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.104755,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.056838,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.128501,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.153298,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-06-27",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.058735,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.230563,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "return": -0.003112,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 303032.35,
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        "relative_strength": 23.729678,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "relative_strength": 28.574689,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 284454.35,
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        "fair_value": 36.065857,
        "relative_strength": 24.33029,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 266141.15,
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        "relative_strength": 24.871727,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": 11.341592,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 225893.15,
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        "relative_strength": 13.312849,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 224056.6,
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        "fair_value": 37.676453,
        "relative_strength": 7.085263,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 42.411914,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 189606,
        "typical_volume": 219898.8,
        "trend": 64.683333,
        "fair_value": 37.977127,
        "relative_strength": 7.366298,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 33.004412,
        "energy": 24.731237,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 69.949997,
        "volume": 211297,
        "typical_volume": 215750.7,
        "trend": 65.353333,
        "fair_value": 38.286941,
        "relative_strength": 10.336618,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 31.858531,
        "energy": 19.309918,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 64.800003,
        "volume": 198148,
        "typical_volume": 205615.6,
        "trend": 65.793334,
        "fair_value": 38.56716,
        "relative_strength": 0.989263,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 6.87081,
        "energy": 14.442787,
        "activity_lines": [
          67.643333,
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          67.75957
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 67.050003,
        "volume": 298734,
        "typical_volume": 201172.15,
        "trend": 66.221667,
        "fair_value": 38.864288,
        "relative_strength": 1.017039,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 8.345135,
        "energy": 14.883036,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}