{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5c3ecf82-de6d-47c6-ae70-db7468a2b68d", "symbol": "KJ5", "name": "BBR Holdings (S) Ltd", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 64.569, "architecture_energy": 83.894, "architecture_maturity": 20.911, "architecture_confidence": 80.445, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.8, "rotation_up": 77.12, "upward_expansion": 93.85, "deceleration": 44.67, "rotation_down": 10.72, "downward_expansion": 22.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.246667, 0.228873, 0.216272, 0.210761 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.245, "trend_reference": 0.206509, "distance_from_trend": 0.186391, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.147841, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.657181, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.091043, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.130178, "excess_performance": -0.024657, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.186391, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.053853, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.657181, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.207831, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.03091, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.06255, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.130178, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 12.30193, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2506300, "relative_activity": 0.390811, "balance": 12.30193, "dry_up": 3.567749, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.075981, "annualized_volatility": 0.478501, "from_high_reference": -0.140351, "from_low_reference": 0.462582 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.206509, "fair_value_reference": 0.147841, "structural_low": 0.167512, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.470588, "directional_follow_through": 0.470588, "median_excess_return": -0.0031, "regime_survival": 0.647059, "best_return": 0.58784, "worst_return": -0.191487, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.060823, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.044145, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.449279, "worst_return": -0.103178, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.047616, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.024736, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.567688, "worst_return": -0.120004, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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-15.701259, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.523942, "energy": 41.054863, "activity_lines": [ 0.192533, 0.196073, 0.197034, 0.198072 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.21, "volume": 23913400, "typical_volume": 2102900.0, "trend": 0.198603, "fair_value": 0.144588, "relative_strength": -9.3078, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 4.585405, "energy": 8.168503, "activity_lines": [ 0.1976, 0.1982, 0.198244, 0.19886 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.22, "volume": 71154300, "typical_volume": 5580280.0, "trend": 0.199564, "fair_value": 0.145186, "relative_strength": -5.01952, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.257156, "energy": 41.079665, "activity_lines": [ 0.205333, 0.202, 0.200439, 0.200241 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.275, "volume": 14957600, "typical_volume": 6226175.0, "trend": 0.202621, "fair_value": 0.146197, "relative_strength": 17.324665, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.816727, "energy": 85.828643, "activity_lines": [ 0.230067, 0.215473, 0.207833, 0.205107 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.25, "volume": 2902700, "typical_volume": 6317520.0, "trend": 0.204747, "fair_value": 0.147041, "relative_strength": 6.16056, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.849165, "energy": 86.800274, "activity_lines": [ 0.2412, 0.223036, 0.212433, 0.208164 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.245, "volume": 2506300, "typical_volume": 6413070.0, "trend": 0.206509, "fair_value": 0.147841, "relative_strength": 3.091043, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.569222, "energy": 83.893932, "activity_lines": [ 0.246667, 0.228873, 0.216272, 0.210761 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }