{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5c45734b-d24c-4630-b65b-ca14810f3401", "symbol": "IPDN", "name": "Professional Diversity Network Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.019, "architecture_energy": 87.175, "architecture_maturity": 82.0, "architecture_confidence": 89.324, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.37, "rotation_up": 12.56, "upward_expansion": 21.69, "deceleration": 37.12, "rotation_down": 76.29, "downward_expansion": 97.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.391733, 0.471076, 0.579471, 0.722501 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.42, "trend_reference": 0.90408, "distance_from_trend": -0.535439, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.335797, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.942747, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -79.327982, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.681818, "excess_performance": -0.869272, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.535439, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.307925, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.942747, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.009954, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.79328, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.071871, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.681818, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.899101, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1193983, "relative_activity": 3.050044, "balance": 0.899101, "dry_up": 1.23001, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.271383, "annualized_volatility": 1.036144, "from_high_reference": -0.966102, "from_low_reference": 0.284011 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.90408, "fair_value_reference": 7.335797, "structural_low": 0.3271, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 41, "median_return": -0.082759, "positive_rate": 0.292683, "directional_follow_through": 0.707317, "median_excess_return": -0.07487, "regime_survival": 0.878049, "best_return": 1.204545, "worst_return": -0.497817, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.111801, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": -0.136017, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.588235, "worst_return": -0.596306, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.333333, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.484554, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.321316, "worst_return": -0.527311, "sufficient": true 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"label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-10-04", "end": "2024-11-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.191818, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2024-12-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.397333, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.300738, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.379947, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.069565, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "New", 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"typical_volume": 350920.25, "trend": 0.963003, "fair_value": 7.705333, "relative_strength": -82.514352, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -86.172955, "energy": 89.921978, "activity_lines": [ 0.467813, 0.544125, 0.653598, 0.796078 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.3323, "volume": 172652, "typical_volume": 346031.1, "trend": 0.929747, "fair_value": 7.517079, "relative_strength": -83.171121, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.863971, "energy": 92.285148, "activity_lines": [ 0.404267, 0.496573, 0.61015, 0.755388 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.42, "volume": 1193983, "typical_volume": 391464.2, "trend": 0.90408, "fair_value": 7.335797, "relative_strength": -79.327982, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.018529, "energy": 87.175107, "activity_lines": [ 0.391733, 0.471076, 0.579471, 0.722501 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }