{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5c480faf-5cab-45af-a66d-11e667a50248", "symbol": "SGPDU", "name": "UBS MSCI Singapore UCITS ETF SGD dis", "exchange": "EBS", "country": "CH", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SSMI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 92.551, "architecture_energy": 97.22, "architecture_maturity": 32.721, "architecture_confidence": 73.754, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.0, "rotation_up": 89.99, "upward_expansion": 99.99, "deceleration": 39.0, "rotation_down": 8.1, "downward_expansion": 21.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 28.608, 27.746455, 26.587429, 25.958699 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 29.365, "trend_reference": 25.336185, "distance_from_trend": 0.159014, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 19.223604, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.527549, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 6.899676, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.179176, "excess_performance": 0.096293, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.159014, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04596, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.527549, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.180859, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.068997, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.069837, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.179176, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.436321, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6141, "relative_activity": 0.638222, "balance": 3.436321, "dry_up": 0.920958, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.021847, "annualized_volatility": 0.166087, "from_high_reference": -0.03363, "from_low_reference": 0.311199 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.336185, "fair_value_reference": 19.223604, "structural_low": 23.110001, "invalidation": "A 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"gate": "up", "direction": 87.394202, "energy": 85.359926, "activity_lines": [ 25.849, 25.487909, 25.005691, 24.834068 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 27.924999, "volume": 2200, "typical_volume": 11035.45, "trend": 24.73845, "fair_value": 18.852189, "relative_strength": 4.218237, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 95.83169, "energy": 97.417249, "activity_lines": [ 26.618, 25.987454, 25.311667, 25.049511 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 27.9, "volume": 13818, "typical_volume": 11089.2, "trend": 24.888468, "fair_value": 18.941919, "relative_strength": 3.297478, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.273077, "energy": 96.104975, "activity_lines": [ 27.193666, 26.416, 25.602857, 25.253482 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 28.030001, "volume": 7056, "typical_volume": 9734.3, "trend": 25.026167, "fair_value": 19.029547, "relative_strength": 3.84401, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.645417, "energy": 94.826424, "activity_lines": [ 27.611, 26.805182, 25.892452, 25.456161 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 28.620001, "volume": 8431, "typical_volume": 9931.15, "trend": 25.169494, "fair_value": 19.12331, "relative_strength": 5.755625, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.436771, "energy": 95.841073, "activity_lines": [ 28.086, 27.239273, 26.216667, 25.688022 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 29.365, "volume": 6141, "typical_volume": 9622.05, "trend": 25.336185, "fair_value": 19.223604, "relative_strength": 6.899676, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 92.550843, "energy": 97.219673, "activity_lines": [ 28.608, 27.746455, 26.587429, 25.958699 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }