{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5c4f0b49-7aef-47c1-99e4-1731f3fba92b", "symbol": "CLRB", "name": "Cellectar Biosciences Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -49.847, "architecture_energy": 40.82, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 95.1, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.07, "rotation_up": 16.22, "upward_expansion": 7.36, "deceleration": 42.33, "rotation_down": 48.76, "downward_expansion": 76.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.546667, 2.584545, 2.688905, 2.769215 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 2.57, "trend_reference": 2.916167, "distance_from_trend": -0.118706, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 38.10534, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.932555, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -34.709738, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.154605, "excess_performance": -0.342059, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.118706, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.065181, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.932555, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.005606, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.347097, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.092578, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.154605, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.668079, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 145777, "relative_activity": 0.043174, "balance": 0.668079, "dry_up": 0.123732, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.1666, "annualized_volatility": 0.746387, "from_high_reference": -0.605828, "from_low_reference": 0.168182 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.916167, "fair_value_reference": 38.10534, "structural_low": 2.2, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 47, "median_return": -0.052012, "positive_rate": 0.382979, "directional_follow_through": 0.595745, "median_excess_return": -0.062098, "regime_survival": 0.914894, "best_return": 0.686531, "worst_return": -0.799481, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.19506, "positive_rate": 0.0625, "directional_follow_through": 0.9375, "median_excess_return": -0.222141, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": 0.402878, "worst_return": -0.86684, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.382004, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": -0.443324, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.054054, "worst_return": -0.888419, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.264028, "energy": 25.661132, "activity_lines": [ 2.672667, 2.686545, 2.768952, 2.854022 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.41, "volume": 140984, "typical_volume": 3383150.1, "trend": 2.963167, "fair_value": 38.730083, "relative_strength": -37.408801, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.875876, "energy": 27.299936, "activity_lines": [ 2.579333, 2.621091, 2.73, 2.818011 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.57, "volume": 321841, "typical_volume": 3378452.1, "trend": 2.933167, "fair_value": 38.396558, "relative_strength": -32.506974, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.064962, "energy": 26.216752, "activity_lines": [ 2.564667, 2.597091, 2.707952, 2.792645 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.57, "volume": 145777, "typical_volume": 3376498.2, "trend": 2.916167, "fair_value": 38.10534, "relative_strength": -34.709738, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.846793, "energy": 40.819604, "activity_lines": [ 2.546667, 2.584545, 2.688905, 2.769215 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }