{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5c68c038-a4f4-4ead-9d9d-2e3c9b48315b", "symbol": "688367", "name": "Hefei Gocom Information Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 48.234, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.079, "architecture_energy": 69.616, "architecture_maturity": 13.913, "architecture_confidence": 75.813, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.68, "rotation_up": 11.2, "upward_expansion": 15.39, "deceleration": 38.63, "rotation_down": 70.06, "downward_expansion": 88.73 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.932667, 29.482047, 32.630473, 34.055583 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 30.92, "trend_reference": 35.293156, "distance_from_trend": -0.123909, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 20.297381, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.523349, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 2.602479, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.231228, "excess_performance": -0.188024, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.123909, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.03497, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.523349, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.651781, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.026025, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.409456, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.231228, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.443202, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8376308, "relative_activity": 0.826457, "balance": 0.443202, "dry_up": 0.90919, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.140164, "annualized_volatility": 0.48224, "from_high_reference": -0.286571, "from_low_reference": 0.742954 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 35.293156, "fair_value_reference": 20.297381, "structural_low": 21.75, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.010276, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.0039, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.290893, "worst_return": -0.082707, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.016255, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -5.7e-05, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.349338, "worst_return": -0.089743, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.001572, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.039774, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.215643, "worst_return": -0.2125, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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"close": 24.4, "volume": 8885408, "typical_volume": 10542043.0, "trend": 35.400156, "fair_value": 20.149473, "relative_strength": -15.462941, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.616155, "energy": 86.282788, "activity_lines": [ 27.543479, 30.592035, 33.818946, 34.867496 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 27.190001, "volume": 8597675, "typical_volume": 10532005.35, "trend": 35.29449, "fair_value": 20.21024, "relative_strength": -6.673402, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.270978, "energy": 80.59369, "activity_lines": [ 26.926797, 29.608132, 33.02821, 34.337808 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 30.92, "volume": 8376308, "typical_volume": 10135202.2, "trend": 35.293156, "fair_value": 20.297381, "relative_strength": 2.602479, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.078948, "energy": 69.616226, "activity_lines": [ 27.932667, 29.482047, 32.630473, 34.055583 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }