{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5c736b76-60b5-40f2-96d3-cb37ed8db480", "symbol": "DRT", "name": "DIRTT Environmental Solutions Ltd.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 78.469, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 26.541, "architecture_energy": 49.822, "architecture_maturity": 7.882, "architecture_confidence": 64.315, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.98, "rotation_up": 71.44, "upward_expansion": 56.63, "deceleration": 13.88, "rotation_down": 14.54, "downward_expansion": 24.63 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.848667, 0.818182, 0.791571, 0.796968 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.85, "trend_reference": 0.810667, "distance_from_trend": 0.04852, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.77134, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.101978, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -10.193605, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.011628, "excess_performance": -0.132049, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.04852, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.063895, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.101978, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.044278, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.101936, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.095216, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.011628, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.755641, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 126900, "relative_activity": 0.873666, "balance": 1.755641, "dry_up": 1.151635, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.070588, "annualized_volatility": 0.341587, "from_high_reference": -0.212963, "from_low_reference": 0.268657 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.810667, "fair_value_reference": 0.77134, "structural_low": 0.68, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.028986, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.006778, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.058824, "worst_return": -0.255556, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.071807, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.143226, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.362319, "worst_return": -0.411765, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.186649, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.049358, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.567435, "worst_return": -0.605882, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"2025-03-07", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.1875, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.010753, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.105882, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.010101, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.078431, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.085106, "active": false }, { "regime": 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"relative_strength": -10.517075, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -10.189593, "energy": 12.004285, "activity_lines": [ 0.778667, 0.758727, 0.769095, 0.789548 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.82, "volume": 183800, "typical_volume": 179350.0, "trend": 0.817333, "fair_value": 0.763605, "relative_strength": -11.856857, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -10.237275, "energy": 19.995059, "activity_lines": [ 0.8, 0.771091, 0.771762, 0.789462 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.84, "volume": 163500, "typical_volume": 151805.0, "trend": 0.814, "fair_value": 0.767074, "relative_strength": -9.309508, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 26.561356, "energy": 33.798837, "activity_lines": [ 0.820667, 0.786364, 0.776857, 0.790925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.87, "volume": 194900, "typical_volume": 148335.0, "trend": 0.812333, "fair_value": 0.76899, "relative_strength": -5.322173, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 35.784144, "energy": 47.720522, "activity_lines": [ 0.842667, 0.805091, 0.78519, 0.794538 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.85, "volume": 126900, "typical_volume": 145250.0, "trend": 0.810667, "fair_value": 0.77134, "relative_strength": -10.193605, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 26.540845, "energy": 49.821566, "activity_lines": [ 0.848667, 0.818182, 0.791571, 0.796968 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }