{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5c7e95aa-08d5-4f14-8e19-a13959fe74b6", "symbol": "EAPI", "name": "Euroapi S.A.", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -82.731, "architecture_energy": 85.921, "architecture_maturity": 88.0, "architecture_confidence": 80.496, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.66, "rotation_up": 9.37, "upward_expansion": 19.13, "deceleration": 37.91, "rotation_down": 81.62, "downward_expansion": 94.79 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.0976, 1.180036, 1.262362, 1.332983 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1.01, "trend_reference": 1.4969, "distance_from_trend": -0.325272, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.59459, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.719022, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -55.524304, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.512077, "excess_performance": -0.565389, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.325272, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.254272, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.719022, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.057511, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.555243, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.12659, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.512077, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.501807, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1484201, "relative_activity": 2.215676, "balance": 0.501807, "dry_up": 1.597773, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.11965, "annualized_volatility": 0.796472, "from_high_reference": -0.706225, "from_low_reference": 0.094258 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.4969, "fair_value_reference": 3.59459, "structural_low": 0.923, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.025757, "positive_rate": 0.565217, "directional_follow_through": 0.434783, "median_excess_return": -0.003646, "regime_survival": 0.869565, "best_return": 0.431818, "worst_return": -0.421461, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.03917, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.074497, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.314231, "worst_return": -0.49627, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.198892, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.226135, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.264649, "worst_return": -0.438565, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"activity_lines": [ 1.2996, 1.326909, 1.343338, 1.453344 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.274, "volume": 299086, "typical_volume": 873969.8, "trend": 1.608567, "fair_value": 3.795231, "relative_strength": -44.54776, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.846323, "energy": 47.17103, "activity_lines": [ 1.293333, 1.310364, 1.333705, 1.429703 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.23, "volume": 361310, "typical_volume": 612775.45, "trend": 1.575633, "fair_value": 3.7335, "relative_strength": -45.705149, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.931877, "energy": 48.740045, "activity_lines": [ 1.271867, 1.289564, 1.324033, 1.40528 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.98, "volume": 2136563, "typical_volume": 655654.95, "trend": 1.534967, "fair_value": 3.665295, "relative_strength": -56.655594, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -88.686094, "energy": 65.371244, "activity_lines": [ 1.168533, 1.227345, 1.291086, 1.366852 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.01, "volume": 1484201, "typical_volume": 669863.75, "trend": 1.4969, "fair_value": 3.59459, "relative_strength": -55.524304, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.730653, "energy": 85.921318, "activity_lines": [ 1.0976, 1.180036, 1.262362, 1.332983 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }