{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5c80db9a-2e43-4116-a708-c7fe8fb2b955",
    "symbol": "EDUCA18",
    "name": "Fideicomiso Irrevocable No. F/3277 en Banco Invex, S. A. Instituci\u00f3n de Banca M\u00faltiple, INVEX Grupo",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^MXX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 81.563,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 27.067,
    "architecture_energy": 28.355,
    "architecture_maturity": 25.731,
    "architecture_confidence": 58.867,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 48.47,
        "rotation_up": 41.59,
        "upward_expansion": 60.25,
        "deceleration": 65.52,
        "rotation_down": 22.12,
        "downward_expansion": 19.58
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        54.066667,
        53.818182,
        54.518672,
        53.781446
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 54.0,
    "trend_reference": 52.355496,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.03141,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 50.295527,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.073654,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 2.505002,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.128453,
    "excess_performance": 0.18312,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03141,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.028123,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.073654,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.06383,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.02505,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.027978,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.128453,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.958684,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 0.958684,
      "dry_up": 1.643982,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.016862,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.251264,
      "from_high_reference": -0.074714,
      "from_low_reference": 0.164088
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 52.355496,
      "fair_value_reference": 50.295527,
      "structural_low": 46.388233,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.011156,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.01097,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.016886,
        "worst_return": -0.059716,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.039604,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.017281,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.065658,
        "worst_return": 0.01355,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.036321,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.037095,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.105002,
        "worst_return": -0.032361,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.055951,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.048934,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.055951,
        "worst_return": 0.055951,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "end": "2024-08-23",
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        "return": 0.010951,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-08-30",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.025229,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.01118,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.036364,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-05-09",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.012109,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.012075,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-10-24",
        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.014272,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-03-27",
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      {
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        "active": true
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "trend": 50.099066,
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        "relative_strength": -1.135644,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 826.85,
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        "activity_lines": [
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 928.15,
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        "relative_strength": 5.534851,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 53.900002,
        "volume": 498,
        "typical_volume": 844.25,
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        "relative_strength": 1.221549,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "trend": 51.143189,
        "fair_value": 49.928108,
        "relative_strength": -1.141616,
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "fair_value": 49.995948,
        "relative_strength": -0.455579,
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        "energy": 32.498753,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "fair_value": 50.041629,
        "relative_strength": 0.522742,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 34.607026,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 235,
        "typical_volume": 846.4,
        "trend": 51.608108,
        "fair_value": 50.078337,
        "relative_strength": -1.559981,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "energy": 30.687518,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 52.5,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 839.95,
        "trend": 51.730451,
        "fair_value": 50.115044,
        "relative_strength": -0.437062,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -6.245233,
        "energy": 28.535566,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 54.5,
        "volume": 5411,
        "typical_volume": 1028.55,
        "trend": 51.91946,
        "fair_value": 50.164572,
        "relative_strength": 3.382679,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 8.635786,
        "energy": 21.295198,
        "activity_lines": [
          53.446667,
          53.987841,
          54.492806,
          53.378859
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 54.5,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 934.2,
        "trend": 52.10847,
        "fair_value": 50.214099,
        "relative_strength": 3.934906,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 10.88392,
        "energy": 17.142538,
        "activity_lines": [
          53.793333,
          53.918736,
          54.566282,
          53.545346
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 54.0,
        "volume": 121,
        "typical_volume": 861.25,
        "trend": 52.231983,
        "fair_value": 50.254813,
        "relative_strength": 2.34054,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 23.063732,
        "energy": 18.421357,
        "activity_lines": [
          53.933333,
          53.82891,
          54.554441,
          53.66738
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 54.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 841.25,
        "trend": 52.355496,
        "fair_value": 50.295527,
        "relative_strength": 2.505002,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 27.066679,
        "energy": 28.354809,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.066667,
          53.818182,
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          53.781446
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}