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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 67.845, "architecture_energy": 65.195, "architecture_maturity": 72.343, "architecture_confidence": 90.794, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.66, "rotation_up": 61.17, "upward_expansion": 87.67, "deceleration": 65.83, "rotation_down": 25.61, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 3840.110661, 3823.390403, 3746.998068, 3688.49803 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 3842.73999, "trend_reference": 3617.722998, "distance_from_trend": 0.062199, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3177.715961, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.209277, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 6.527192, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.086458, "excess_performance": 0.141124, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.062199, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035345, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.209277, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.05341, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.065272, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.130495, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.086458, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 46.96875, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 568, "relative_activity": 0.764417, "balance": 46.96875, "dry_up": 0.85324, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.015905, "annualized_volatility": 0.061187, "from_high_reference": -0.032833, "from_low_reference": 0.174093 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3617.722998, "fair_value_reference": 3177.715961, "structural_low": 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"stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.92687, "energy": 70.885017, "activity_lines": [ 3840.517301, 3800.460937, 3712.096382, 3658.485446 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3822.800049, "volume": 128, "typical_volume": 739.25, "trend": 3606.944735, "fair_value": 3168.748261, "relative_strength": 6.016569, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.367423, "energy": 66.178568, "activity_lines": [ 3837.109326, 3811.866824, 3729.308265, 3673.285433 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3842.73999, "volume": 568, "typical_volume": 743.05, "trend": 3617.722998, "fair_value": 3177.715961, "relative_strength": 6.527192, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.845139, "energy": 65.195231, "activity_lines": [ 3840.110661, 3823.390403, 3746.998068, 3688.49803 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }