{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5c928fe1-0226-4ded-b441-3c71db1b5fb9",
    "symbol": "3499",
    "name": "GlobalSat WorldCom Corporation",
    "exchange": "TWO",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -70.116,
    "architecture_energy": 81.813,
    "architecture_maturity": 32.815,
    "architecture_confidence": 86.436,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.02,
        "rotation_up": 12.02,
        "upward_expansion": 19.46,
        "deceleration": 37.4,
        "rotation_down": 75.57,
        "downward_expansion": 95.12
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        13.11,
        13.656364,
        14.260238,
        14.991613
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 12.95,
    "trend_reference": 15.893333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.185193,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 18.248077,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.290336,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -41.784375,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.276536,
    "excess_performance": -0.717908,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.185193,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.036573,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.290336,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.062192,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.417844,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.040763,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.276536,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.012928,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 144371,
      "relative_activity": 0.285844,
      "balance": 1.012928,
      "dry_up": 0.447299,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.07722,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.291317,
      "from_high_reference": -0.39627,
      "from_low_reference": 0.079167
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 15.893333,
      "fair_value_reference": 18.248077,
      "structural_low": 12.0,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 23,
        "median_return": 0.009901,
        "positive_rate": 0.521739,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.478261,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002494,
        "regime_survival": 0.73913,
        "best_return": 0.672131,
        "worst_return": -0.123359,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.0776,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": 0.07903,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 1.048,
        "worst_return": -0.232737,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.057743,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00053,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
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        "worst_return": -0.186528,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.197114,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
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        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.248634,
        "worst_return": -0.084399,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2024-11-22",
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        "return": 0.132388,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "fair_value": 18.829487,
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        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 62.884245,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "relative_strength": -38.541492,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Structural failure",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 954364.05,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -59.120439,
        "energy": 44.125276,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 244696,
        "typical_volume": 896115.5,
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        "fair_value": 18.494872,
        "relative_strength": -36.579807,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "energy": 36.736687,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 248670,
        "typical_volume": 872144.75,
        "trend": 16.57,
        "fair_value": 18.457051,
        "relative_strength": -34.639525,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.684227,
        "energy": 44.135269,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.593333,
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          15.230952,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 13.65,
        "volume": 253873,
        "typical_volume": 781020.8,
        "trend": 16.478333,
        "fair_value": 18.398718,
        "relative_strength": -37.92604,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -73.623237,
        "energy": 53.144521,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.266667,
          14.466364,
          15.007619,
          15.636667
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 12.8,
        "volume": 357017,
        "typical_volume": 757018.5,
        "trend": 16.231666,
        "fair_value": 18.346474,
        "relative_strength": -40.395709,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -80.937619,
        "energy": 73.798074,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.716667,
          14.141818,
          14.723095,
          15.399355
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 13.0,
        "volume": 148407,
        "typical_volume": 567608.5,
        "trend": 16.038333,
        "fair_value": 18.297756,
        "relative_strength": -40.26373,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -72.114341,
        "energy": 78.641939,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.356667,
          13.888182,
          14.479048,
          15.19086
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 12.95,
        "volume": 144371,
        "typical_volume": 505069.55,
        "trend": 15.893333,
        "fair_value": 18.248077,
        "relative_strength": -41.784375,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -70.115988,
        "energy": 81.813144,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.11,
          13.656364,
          14.260238,
          14.991613
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}