{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5c94d9e5-4717-4241-9f0f-57feaca7e5b7",
    "symbol": "AGNCM",
    "name": "AGNC Investment Corp.",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 78.252,
    "architecture_energy": 80.528,
    "architecture_maturity": 32.169,
    "architecture_confidence": 68.434,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 5.71,
        "rotation_up": 79.56,
        "upward_expansion": 96.01,
        "deceleration": 39.29,
        "rotation_down": 11.21,
        "downward_expansion": 18.01
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        24.62052
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 25.17,
    "trend_reference": 24.505599,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.027112,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 22.134669,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.13713,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -8.928183,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.028809,
    "excess_performance": -0.158645,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.027112,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.014401,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.13713,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.001237,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.089282,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.054449,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.028809,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.415228,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 74797,
      "relative_activity": 0.798765,
      "balance": 4.415228,
      "dry_up": 0.633733,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.010435,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.050833,
      "from_high_reference": -0.001587,
      "from_low_reference": 0.096317
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 22.134669,
      "structural_low": 23.63,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 39,
        "median_return": 0.005181,
        "positive_rate": 0.692308,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.692308,
        "median_excess_return": 0.006099,
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        "worst_return": -0.095174,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.032152,
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 96828.65,
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        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 69.553774,
        "energy": 65.85821,
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          24.505526
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 24.91,
        "volume": 44136,
        "typical_volume": 96268.85,
        "trend": 24.446302,
        "fair_value": 22.044375,
        "relative_strength": -5.351137,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.434679,
        "energy": 69.659279,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 25.04,
        "volume": 66099,
        "typical_volume": 94839.3,
        "trend": 24.4746,
        "fair_value": 22.08903,
        "relative_strength": -5.084501,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.630046,
        "energy": 77.411402,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.951333,
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          24.673936,
          24.575656
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 25.17,
        "volume": 74797,
        "typical_volume": 93640.75,
        "trend": 24.505599,
        "fair_value": 22.134669,
        "relative_strength": -8.928183,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.251978,
        "energy": 80.527941,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}