{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5ca0c062-547e-4c0e-82af-fce2ae1c4945", "symbol": "6576", "name": "Foresee Pharmaceuticals Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 49.646, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -0.353, "architecture_energy": 2.678, "architecture_maturity": 34.242, "architecture_confidence": 49.492, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 67.14, "rotation_up": 26.48, "upward_expansion": 26.51, "deceleration": 62.14, "rotation_down": 37.86, "downward_expansion": 28.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 79.866665, 80.321817, 79.803332, 79.707956 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 79.699997, "trend_reference": 80.056666, "distance_from_trend": -0.004455, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 81.789619, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.025549, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -29.573749, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.083908, "excess_performance": -0.52528, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.004455, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002756, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.025549, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013012, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.295737, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011863, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.083908, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.058805, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 538052, "relative_activity": 0.705792, "balance": 1.058805, "dry_up": 0.672107, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.049899, "annualized_volatility": 0.1836, "from_high_reference": -0.149413, "from_low_reference": 0.108484 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 80.056666, "fair_value_reference": 81.789619, "structural_low": 75.099998, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.008315, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.00935, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.154267, "worst_return": -0.063636, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.042843, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.057469, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.203501, "worst_return": -0.3, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.01125, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.11474, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.237569, "worst_return": -0.156364, "sufficient": true 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81.06, 80.076363, 79.433333, 79.716558 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 82.0, "volume": 596782, "typical_volume": 791434.55, "trend": 80.216666, "fair_value": 81.861414, "relative_strength": -26.358677, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 16.881362, "energy": 28.704838, "activity_lines": [ 81.553333, 80.523636, 79.709999, 79.839139 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 79.199997, "volume": 627656, "typical_volume": 785562.2, "trend": 80.123333, "fair_value": 81.826157, "relative_strength": -27.272835, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 4.859368, "energy": 12.386513, "activity_lines": [ 80.873332, 80.407272, 79.718094, 79.773548 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 79.5, "volume": 287001, "typical_volume": 762799.1, "trend": 80.093333, "fair_value": 81.800516, "relative_strength": -28.101973, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 2.177372, "energy": 2.683615, "activity_lines": [ 80.213333, 80.36909, 79.757142, 79.733333 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 79.699997, "volume": 538052, "typical_volume": 762338.05, "trend": 80.056666, "fair_value": 81.789619, "relative_strength": -29.573749, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -0.353497, "energy": 2.678265, "activity_lines": [ 79.866665, 80.321817, 79.803332, 79.707956 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }