{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5cb870d4-29dd-43ae-bc0f-6a7358c91b9e", "symbol": "PSG", "name": "Prosegur Compa\u00f1\u00eda de Seguridad, S.A.", "exchange": "MCE", "country": "ES", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^IBEX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 77.948, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 66.036, "architecture_energy": 79.43, "architecture_maturity": 13.922, "architecture_confidence": 63.541, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.92, "rotation_up": 78.52, "upward_expansion": 94.16, "deceleration": 41.88, "rotation_down": 8.44, "downward_expansion": 18.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.016, 2.923636, 2.824476, 2.785419 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 2.96, "trend_reference": 2.756, "distance_from_trend": 0.07402, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.037516, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.45275, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.97985, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.070524, "excess_performance": -0.053906, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.07402, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032881, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.45275, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.054271, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.059799, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037166, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.070524, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.795209, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1085955, "relative_activity": 1.405275, "balance": 0.795209, "dry_up": 1.80457, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.049116, "annualized_volatility": 0.278296, "from_high_reference": -0.116418, "from_low_reference": 0.221495 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.756, "fair_value_reference": 2.037516, "structural_low": 2.455, "invalidation": "A sustained 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50.931133, "energy": 46.276649, "activity_lines": [ 2.759667, 2.723273, 2.70269, 2.704828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.91, "volume": 639652, "typical_volume": 689802.25, "trend": 2.710167, "fair_value": 2.005222, "relative_strength": -3.833054, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.691252, "energy": 71.780113, "activity_lines": [ 2.817667, 2.76, 2.723024, 2.718462 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.24, "volume": 2033174, "typical_volume": 719989.1, "trend": 2.731, "fair_value": 2.016632, "relative_strength": 5.486303, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 96.278485, "energy": 92.461234, "activity_lines": [ 2.970333, 2.852636, 2.774714, 2.752645 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.025, "volume": 1819293, "typical_volume": 761422.95, "trend": 2.746, "fair_value": 2.027169, "relative_strength": -2.257519, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.267735, "energy": 81.710359, "activity_lines": [ 3.014667, 2.896364, 2.803714, 2.771613 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.96, "volume": 1085955, "typical_volume": 772770.65, "trend": 2.756, "fair_value": 2.037516, "relative_strength": -5.97985, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.035672, "energy": 79.429766, "activity_lines": [ 3.016, 2.923636, 2.824476, 2.785419 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }