{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5cbb69ad-9d1f-4c18-919b-555715e270ce", "symbol": "O1KT34", "name": "Okta, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 73.907, "architecture_energy": 68.041, "architecture_maturity": 63.387, "architecture_confidence": 85.471, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.53, "rotation_up": 62.47, "upward_expansion": 85.33, "deceleration": 68.28, "rotation_down": 23.67, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 36.558666, 35.524181, 31.370476, 28.475699 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 37.549999, "trend_reference": 25.668, "distance_from_trend": 0.462911, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 24.592308, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.5269, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 43.037495, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.668147, "excess_performance": 0.725196, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.462911, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.149245, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.5269, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.654408, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.430375, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.729955, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.668147, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.642297, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14885, "relative_activity": 1.232238, "balance": 1.642297, "dry_up": 1.107565, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.079955, "annualized_volatility": 0.784499, "from_high_reference": -0.055346, "from_low_reference": 1.376582 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.668, "fair_value_reference": 24.592308, "structural_low": 15.8, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.027785, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.015054, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.283836, "worst_return": -0.245833, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.058931, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.05663, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.196148, "worst_return": -0.31, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.051895, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.058259, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.20274, "worst_return": -0.138144, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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24.232436, "relative_strength": 43.849883, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.647317, "energy": 93.741435, "activity_lines": [ 35.839333, 33.352545, 28.409333, 26.272 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 35.049999, "volume": 19204, "typical_volume": 12100.1, "trend": 24.797333, "fair_value": 24.348269, "relative_strength": 32.930177, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.188757, "energy": 71.4718, "activity_lines": [ 35.979332, 34.115454, 29.353857, 26.956193 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 36.040001, "volume": 9724, "typical_volume": 11478.8, "trend": 25.240333, "fair_value": 24.463269, "relative_strength": 33.621315, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.298763, "energy": 66.221332, "activity_lines": [ 36.146, 34.801636, 30.326095, 27.681527 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 37.549999, "volume": 14885, "typical_volume": 12079.65, "trend": 25.668, "fair_value": 24.592308, "relative_strength": 43.037495, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.907486, "energy": 68.041096, "activity_lines": [ 36.558666, 35.524181, 31.370476, 28.475699 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }