{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5cd2d7dd-b1e1-49d6-9519-9ad95733d004", "symbol": "AIRJ", "name": "AirJoule Technologies Corporation", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 69.001, "architecture_energy": 34.907, "architecture_maturity": 36.742, "architecture_confidence": 66.911, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.73, "rotation_up": 44.32, "upward_expansion": 71.99, "deceleration": 68.74, "rotation_down": 24.41, "downward_expansion": 5.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.720667, 4.596818, 4.350357, 4.071774 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 5.92, "trend_reference": 3.769167, "distance_from_trend": 0.570639, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.215793, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.047587, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 28.352867, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.832817, "excess_performance": 0.645364, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.570639, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.075573, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.047587, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.399053, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.283529, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.554513, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.832817, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.129947, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13879496, "relative_activity": 2.322321, "balance": 3.129947, "dry_up": 1.556171, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.179773, "annualized_volatility": 0.768217, "from_high_reference": -0.122963, "from_low_reference": 1.666667 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.769167, "fair_value_reference": 6.215793, "structural_low": 2.22, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.116034, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.102804, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.18578, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.141104, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-05-08", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.053412, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-05-15", "end": "2026-05-22", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.171582, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-05-29", "end": "2026-06-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.084633, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-06-12", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.107399, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.419664, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-03-15", "close": 12.0, "volume": 30032, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, 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"typical_volume": 4503959.35, "trend": 3.6865, "fair_value": 6.271557, "relative_strength": -8.638639, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.117017, "energy": 37.478645, "activity_lines": [ 4.560667, 4.518455, 4.077643, 3.861989 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.74, "volume": 4968497, "typical_volume": 4652970.7, "trend": 3.6995, "fair_value": 6.250975, "relative_strength": -16.373137, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.251529, "energy": 19.795989, "activity_lines": [ 4.291667, 4.403091, 4.076571, 3.865441 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.17, "volume": 12089794, "typical_volume": 5157976.3, "trend": 3.7105, "fair_value": 6.234193, "relative_strength": -4.664256, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.295525, "energy": 16.578792, "activity_lines": [ 4.196, 4.362455, 4.114024, 3.895796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.23, "volume": 6264429, "typical_volume": 5394798.8, "trend": 3.711833, "fair_value": 6.218159, "relative_strength": -3.51226, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.061352, "energy": 17.566863, "activity_lines": [ 4.165667, 4.324727, 4.154048, 3.929312 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.92, "volume": 13879496, "typical_volume": 5976561.85, "trend": 3.769167, "fair_value": 6.215793, "relative_strength": 28.352867, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.001059, "energy": 34.907331, "activity_lines": [ 4.720667, 4.596818, 4.350357, 4.071774 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }