{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5ce1e524-c6d7-4857-ab66-d7ebfbdd262a", "symbol": "RDOR3", "name": "Rede D'Or S\u00e3o Luiz S.A.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.25, "architecture_energy": 36.784, "architecture_maturity": 44.251, "architecture_confidence": 91.83, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.15, "rotation_up": 23.85, "upward_expansion": 4.3, "deceleration": 54.53, "rotation_down": 45.51, "downward_expansion": 75.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 34.391999, 34.596718, 35.020882, 36.007573 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 33.919998, "trend_reference": 37.563494, "distance_from_trend": -0.096996, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 29.786193, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.138783, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.58152, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.17984, "excess_performance": -0.122792, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.096996, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.058715, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.138783, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.163286, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.145815, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012614, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.17984, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.241835, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 29998700, "relative_activity": 1.017644, "balance": 0.241835, "dry_up": 0.849806, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.060411, "annualized_volatility": 0.313111, "from_high_reference": -0.249422, "from_low_reference": 0.041569 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 37.563494, "fair_value_reference": 29.786193, "structural_low": 32.566253, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.058193, "positive_rate": 0.588235, "directional_follow_through": 0.411765, "median_excess_return": 0.024329, "regime_survival": 0.764706, "best_return": 0.293574, "worst_return": -0.17701, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.140587, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.055744, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.50087, "worst_return": -0.185264, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.200295, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.129138, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.40566, "worst_return": -0.003425, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"relative_strength": -17.194772, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.655141, "energy": 26.189004, "activity_lines": [ 34.952667, 34.627664, 35.38896, 36.473961 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 34.64, "volume": 20677100, "typical_volume": 30089510.0, "trend": 37.800134, "fair_value": 29.74332, "relative_strength": -15.782825, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.560552, "energy": 23.971482, "activity_lines": [ 34.79, 34.684471, 35.234902, 36.257904 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 33.919998, "volume": 29998700, "typical_volume": 29478585.0, "trend": 37.563494, "fair_value": 29.786193, "relative_strength": -14.58152, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.249676, "energy": 36.784325, "activity_lines": [ 34.391999, 34.596718, 35.020882, 36.007573 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }