{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5ce1f6d1-1cd5-4473-abc2-4e9dede4ab90", "symbol": "VB", "name": "VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS VANGUARD SMALL-CAP ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 73.479, "architecture_energy": 49.018, "architecture_maturity": 59.056, "architecture_confidence": 59.318, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.91, "rotation_up": 45.62, "upward_expansion": 75.53, "deceleration": 70.52, "rotation_down": 26.85, "downward_expansion": 6.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 299.170667, 298.310044, 293.981229, 288.356004 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 306.09, "trend_reference": 282.177185, "distance_from_trend": 0.084744, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 235.018758, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.302407, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.077887, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.107849, "excess_performance": -0.017776, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.084744, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.048934, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.302407, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032344, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.010779, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008269, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.107849, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.515581, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2236752, "relative_activity": 0.758205, "balance": 1.515581, "dry_up": 0.712825, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.028098, "annualized_volatility": 0.143775, "from_high_reference": -0.001468, "from_low_reference": 0.29389 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 282.177185, "fair_value_reference": 235.018758, 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"direction": 58.857494, "energy": 46.769746, "activity_lines": [ 297.073333, 296.352507, 290.959709, 285.750542 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 295.14, "volume": 1983629, "typical_volume": 3054313.1, "trend": 280.999297, "fair_value": 234.299748, "relative_strength": 0.977317, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.379075, "energy": 35.80294, "activity_lines": [ 296.152, 296.398625, 292.033621, 286.737249 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 306.09, "volume": 2236752, "typical_volume": 2950063.85, "trend": 282.177185, "fair_value": 235.018758, "relative_strength": 1.077887, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.478704, "energy": 49.017805, "activity_lines": [ 299.170667, 298.310044, 293.981229, 288.356004 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }