{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5ce931b8-e89e-43f2-87de-262cf173920a", "symbol": "THO", "name": "Thor Industries Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -28.333, "architecture_energy": 13.587, "architecture_maturity": 80.086, "architecture_confidence": 58.544, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.46, "rotation_up": 27.61, "upward_expansion": 19.34, "deceleration": 43.34, "rotation_down": 27.45, "downward_expansion": 55.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 76.867333, 76.253815, 76.347705, 78.768385 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 79.55, "trend_reference": 85.278493, "distance_from_trend": -0.067174, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 94.609649, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.159177, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -24.501712, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.332513, "excess_performance": -0.458138, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.067174, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.095372, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.159177, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.042421, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.245017, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.044516, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.332513, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.01249, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2455558, "relative_activity": 0.690888, "balance": 1.01249, "dry_up": 0.828959, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.086045, "annualized_volatility": 0.393402, "from_high_reference": -0.348, "from_low_reference": 0.149057 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 85.278493, "fair_value_reference": 94.609649, 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30.81389, "activity_lines": [ 75.371305, 75.548728, 76.309685, 80.737479 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 76.66, "volume": 2976598, "typical_volume": 3710935.6, "trend": 87.244305, "fair_value": 94.942486, "relative_strength": -24.829827, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.704602, "energy": 25.548003, "activity_lines": [ 75.877241, 75.739322, 76.244665, 79.993802 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 74.97, "volume": 3002359, "typical_volume": 3669063.35, "trend": 86.269654, "fair_value": 94.750715, "relative_strength": -26.817894, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.042931, "energy": 28.325789, "activity_lines": [ 75.501333, 75.566473, 76.061853, 79.201911 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 79.55, "volume": 2455558, "typical_volume": 3554205.75, "trend": 85.278493, "fair_value": 94.609649, "relative_strength": -24.501712, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -28.332566, "energy": 13.587124, "activity_lines": [ 76.867333, 76.253815, 76.347705, 78.768385 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }