{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5cf50f91-641c-4c47-9ef8-cf6e7c3677aa",
    "symbol": "TCH-F134",
    "name": "Tachlit Indices Mutual Fund Management Ltd. - Tachlit SAL (4D) composite US Equity Monthly",
    "exchange": "TLV",
    "country": "IL",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "TA35.TA",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -64.541,
    "architecture_energy": 67.327,
    "architecture_maturity": 93.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.371,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 14.37,
        "rotation_up": 29.86,
        "upward_expansion": 16.5,
        "deceleration": 61.0,
        "rotation_down": 50.75,
        "downward_expansion": 76.17
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        437.68,
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        20153.915269
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 443.1,
    "trend_reference": 28104.346667,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.984234,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 35193.271795,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.98741,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -98.8201,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.988762,
    "excess_performance": -1.017663,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.984234,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.29866,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.98741,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -1.106004,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.988201,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.769095,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.988762,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.772453,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1005,
      "relative_activity": 1.463308,
      "balance": 1.772453,
      "dry_up": 1.481144,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 7.672257,
      "annualized_volatility": 6.381591,
      "from_high_reference": -0.98945,
      "from_low_reference": 0.055251
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 28104.346667,
      "fair_value_reference": 35193.271795,
      "structural_low": 419.9,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 17,
        "median_return": 0.0128,
        "positive_rate": 0.588235,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.411765,
        "median_excess_return": -0.013134,
        "regime_survival": 0.764706,
        "best_return": 0.075029,
        "worst_return": -0.083224,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.029699,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.040079,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.079404,
        "worst_return": -0.98925,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.01596,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.044988,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.069835,
        "worst_return": -0.031297,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.009363,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.317255,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": -0.002888,
        "worst_return": -0.015837,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-05-10",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.01154,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.1191,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-12-20",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.031494,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.005073,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.013389,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-08-01",
        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.003821,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-29",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.006067,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-02-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.036648,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-02-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.009315,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "return": -0.021208,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 781.75,
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        "fair_value": 35588.491026,
        "relative_strength": -98.920853,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 432.7,
        "volume": 1174,
        "typical_volume": 792.85,
        "trend": 29450.91,
        "fair_value": 35389.085256,
        "relative_strength": -98.8744,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.977613,
        "energy": 68.007481,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 443.1,
        "volume": 1005,
        "typical_volume": 686.8,
        "trend": 28104.346667,
        "fair_value": 35193.271795,
        "relative_strength": -98.8201,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}