{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5d28861c-9252-48af-8462-095de41df95e",
    "symbol": "HMS",
    "name": "HMS Networks AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 65.766,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 3.765,
    "architecture_energy": 15.517,
    "architecture_maturity": 39.995,
    "architecture_confidence": 84.244,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 49.02,
        "rotation_up": 16.34,
        "upward_expansion": 42.08,
        "deceleration": 79.97,
        "rotation_down": 39.15,
        "downward_expansion": 36.08
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        486.053333,
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        507.861779,
        493.905969
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 492.0,
    "trend_reference": 469.476683,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.047975,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 435.862437,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.128797,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -4.878296,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.23713,
    "excess_performance": 0.175635,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047975,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042304,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.128797,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.169613,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.048783,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.20989,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.23713,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.207955,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 250060,
      "relative_activity": 1.24242,
      "balance": 1.207955,
      "dry_up": 0.995191,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.06762,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.313182,
      "from_high_reference": -0.171019,
      "from_low_reference": 0.323518
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 469.476683,
      "fair_value_reference": 435.862437,
      "structural_low": 375.105217,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.038801,
        "positive_rate": 0.181818,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.181818,
        "median_excess_return": -0.0631,
        "regime_survival": 0.363636,
        "best_return": 0.171367,
        "worst_return": -0.255952,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.045119,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.07682,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.258147,
        "worst_return": -0.16704,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.038265,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.016162,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.168443,
        "worst_return": -0.09706,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.055037,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.099509,
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        "best_return": 0.104692,
        "worst_return": -0.363907,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.101652,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 224471.8,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 17.621868,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 210632.65,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": -5.507425,
        "energy": 20.906854,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 491.600006,
        "volume": 164940,
        "typical_volume": 204228.65,
        "trend": 466.32657,
        "fair_value": 435.587414,
        "relative_strength": -3.152151,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 2.815635,
        "energy": 18.63053,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 492.0,
        "volume": 250060,
        "typical_volume": 201268.45,
        "trend": 469.476683,
        "fair_value": 435.862437,
        "relative_strength": -4.878296,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}