{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5d2bbd3d-5dd6-412b-bdc5-0ba57e5f1df3", "symbol": "PTC", "name": "PTC India Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 44.904, "architecture_energy": 20.286, "architecture_maturity": 17.243, "architecture_confidence": 94.86, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.51, "rotation_up": 36.05, "upward_expansion": 53.31, "deceleration": 82.4, "rotation_down": 29.07, "downward_expansion": 26.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 181.493335, 179.717092, 184.045191, 181.983252 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 203.300003, "trend_reference": 177.998536, "distance_from_trend": 0.142144, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 166.929672, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.217878, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 18.577827, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.145933, "excess_performance": 0.189642, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.142144, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.044529, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.217878, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.180813, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.185778, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.173105, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.145933, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.477574, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 44849532, "relative_activity": 5.755911, "balance": 1.477574, "dry_up": 1.761393, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.058614, "annualized_volatility": 0.412116, "from_high_reference": -0.1142, "from_low_reference": 0.383255 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 177.998536, "fair_value_reference": 166.929672, "structural_low": 152.619995, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.040755, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.028716, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.062556, "worst_return": -0.128329, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.120761, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.133227, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.161257, "worst_return": 0.080266, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.028999, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.106906, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.028999, "worst_return": -0.028999, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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176.072922, "fair_value": 165.811653, "relative_strength": -0.536564, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -34.497803, "energy": 51.515412, "activity_lines": [ 170.188001, 176.056546, 182.629571, 180.286121 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 175.520004, "volume": 3994322, "typical_volume": 5794469.4, "trend": 176.441565, "fair_value": 166.290562, "relative_strength": 3.51434, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -23.64699, "energy": 50.568965, "activity_lines": [ 171.001335, 175.195455, 182.055095, 180.250449 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 203.300003, "volume": 44849532, "typical_volume": 7791908.45, "trend": 177.998536, "fair_value": 166.929672, "relative_strength": 18.577827, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.903584, "energy": 20.286114, "activity_lines": [ 181.493335, 179.717092, 184.045191, 181.983252 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }