{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5d37edc9-10bd-4347-8137-21d124a071af", "symbol": "AGUA", "name": "Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 89.278, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 73.9, "architecture_energy": 69.16, "architecture_maturity": 29.343, "architecture_confidence": 86.464, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.51, "rotation_up": 68.41, "upward_expansion": 87.08, "deceleration": 48.74, "rotation_down": 14.84, "downward_expansion": 13.74 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.788, 13.55957, 13.282435, 12.964386 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 14.05, "trend_reference": 12.580694, "distance_from_trend": 0.116791, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 18.385282, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.235802, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 7.490946, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.185654, "excess_performance": 0.240321, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.116791, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.024698, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.235802, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.112749, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.074909, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.183878, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.185654, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.938876, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 263288, "relative_activity": 0.791006, "balance": 2.938876, "dry_up": 0.767759, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.038741, "annualized_volatility": 0.327455, "from_high_reference": -0.020906, "from_low_reference": 0.405 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.580694, "fair_value_reference": 18.385282, "structural_low": 10.0, 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42.145934, "activity_lines": [ 13.190268, 13.152422, 12.93478, 12.671316 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.9, "volume": 329233, "typical_volume": 769449.4, "trend": 12.43136, "fair_value": 18.514126, "relative_strength": 6.731977, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.788725, "energy": 51.80326, "activity_lines": [ 13.42, 13.289639, 13.06011, 12.770003 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.9, "volume": 323249, "typical_volume": 695585.6, "trend": 12.505694, "fair_value": 18.445629, "relative_strength": 6.169437, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.722871, "energy": 59.788051, "activity_lines": [ 13.594, 13.414528, 13.171392, 12.864753 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.05, "volume": 263288, "typical_volume": 332852.15, "trend": 12.580694, "fair_value": 18.385282, "relative_strength": 7.490946, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.900048, "energy": 69.160286, "activity_lines": [ 13.788, 13.55957, 13.282435, 12.964386 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }