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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 85.057, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 68.534, "architecture_energy": 70.252, "architecture_maturity": 25.926, "architecture_confidence": 66.238, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.0, "rotation_up": 75.15, "upward_expansion": 92.9, "deceleration": 41.96, "rotation_down": 12.73, "downward_expansion": 14.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 77.319078, 76.572524, 75.486106, 74.713681 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 77.5, "trend_reference": 73.874971, "distance_from_trend": 0.04907, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 70.101939, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.105533, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -24.634515, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.071878, "excess_performance": -0.369494, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.04907, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.016378, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price 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73.742201 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 76.0, "volume": 369190, "typical_volume": 178607.3, "trend": 73.354655, "fair_value": 69.819731, "relative_strength": -24.93433, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.537227, "energy": 57.894406, "activity_lines": [ 75.79917, 75.342497, 74.433366, 73.920409 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 78.099998, "volume": 245141, "typical_volume": 181911.05, "trend": 73.547889, "fair_value": 69.918924, "relative_strength": -21.076387, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.467441, "energy": 76.576954, "activity_lines": [ 76.664713, 75.916516, 74.857481, 74.22656 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 77.300003, "volume": 119943, "typical_volume": 183922.2, "trend": 73.701738, "fair_value": 70.010324, "relative_strength": -22.996575, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.461103, "energy": 73.469912, "activity_lines": [ 77.042461, 76.25529, 75.175076, 74.468632 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 77.5, "volume": 135063, "typical_volume": 186423.9, "trend": 73.874971, "fair_value": 70.101939, "relative_strength": -24.634515, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.534174, "energy": 70.252238, "activity_lines": [ 77.319078, 76.572524, 75.486106, 74.713681 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }