{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5d4ecb6b-0535-46bc-a0af-9058c8e2f8a3",
    "symbol": "ECOP",
    "name": "WisdomTree Copper - EUR Daily Hedged",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 89.186,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 69.917,
    "architecture_energy": 55.027,
    "architecture_maturity": 7.874,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.337,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 28.16,
        "rotation_up": 59.76,
        "upward_expansion": 80.4,
        "deceleration": 52.94,
        "rotation_down": 15.75,
        "downward_expansion": 9.4
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        10.004667,
        9.890618,
        9.826448,
        9.682757
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 10.234,
    "trend_reference": 9.534,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.073421,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 7.841616,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.305088,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.544774,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.096892,
    "excess_performance": -0.074,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.073421,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045498,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.305088,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.002918,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.015448,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.033464,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.096892,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.831978,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 125144,
      "relative_activity": 1.135883,
      "balance": 1.831978,
      "dry_up": 1.034542,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.034606,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.197033,
      "from_high_reference": -0.03471,
      "from_low_reference": 0.423366
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 9.534,
      "fair_value_reference": 7.841616,
      "structural_low": 8.328,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
        "median_return": -0.01597,
        "positive_rate": 0.421053,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.421053,
        "median_excess_return": -0.010134,
        "regime_survival": 0.631579,
        "best_return": 0.111961,
        "worst_return": -0.127716,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "regime_survival": 0.125,
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        "worst_return": -0.094627,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.052054,
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        "regime_survival": 0.2,
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        "worst_return": -0.319437,
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.189594,
        "sufficient": false
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        "end": "2025-01-24",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "direction": 44.925134,
        "energy": 31.345459,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": -6.86187,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
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        "typical_volume": 179706.2,
        "trend": 9.411833,
        "fair_value": 7.756834,
        "relative_strength": -5.068161,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 34.211356,
        "energy": 20.69478,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 174344.4,
        "trend": 9.442667,
        "fair_value": 7.776687,
        "relative_strength": -3.475514,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 31.134723,
        "energy": 21.260439,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 9.86,
        "volume": 132967,
        "typical_volume": 130321.2,
        "trend": 9.476067,
        "fair_value": 7.796417,
        "relative_strength": -1.378946,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.199269,
        "energy": 18.692595,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.739067,
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          9.599
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 10.048,
        "volume": 79845,
        "typical_volume": 127316.85,
        "trend": 9.5077,
        "fair_value": 7.817962,
        "relative_strength": -0.329226,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.092295,
        "energy": 34.2623,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.8562,
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          9.765238,
          9.635899
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 10.234,
        "volume": 125144,
        "typical_volume": 110173.35,
        "trend": 9.534,
        "fair_value": 7.841616,
        "relative_strength": -1.544774,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.91692,
        "energy": 55.02736,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.004667,
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          9.826448,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}