{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5d5e1b54-d4e8-4115-80ab-58c097ee03b2",
    "symbol": "688195",
    "name": "Optowide Technologies Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 69.719,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -39.73,
    "architecture_energy": 70.723,
    "architecture_maturity": 23.324,
    "architecture_confidence": 56.442,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 20.9,
        "rotation_up": 16.71,
        "upward_expansion": 24.99,
        "deceleration": 43.51,
        "rotation_down": 73.88,
        "downward_expansion": 66.66
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        130.014,
        147.080182,
        181.242074,
        187.817574
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 150.139999,
    "trend_reference": 185.712034,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.191544,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 63.798322,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.353353,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 6.150261,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.021056,
    "excess_performance": 0.064259,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.191544,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.111939,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.353353,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -2.885873,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.061503,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -1.322728,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.021056,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.345617,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 51040200,
      "relative_activity": 1.266361,
      "balance": 0.345617,
      "dry_up": 0.99794,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.210764,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.914582,
      "from_high_reference": -0.509806,
      "from_low_reference": 3.902971
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 185.712034,
      "fair_value_reference": 63.798322,
      "structural_low": 98.68,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.085713,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.077485,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.093734,
        "worst_return": 0.037391,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.21626,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.125641,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.303913,
        "worst_return": -0.316947,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 1.118252,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 1.108769,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 2.290583,
        "worst_return": -0.1174,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 4.406057,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 4.312519,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 8.24024,
        "worst_return": 0.571874,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-05-03",
        "end": "2024-07-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.233023,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-07-12",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.02935,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.181536,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-11-08",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.049032,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.095844,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.08378,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.083677,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.039392,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.301472,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-22",
        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.763391,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-11-07",
        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.034185,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-11-21",
        "end": "2026-05-29",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 1.155792,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.340323,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.22065,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-07-28",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "stage": 3,
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        "direction": -50.00495,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 41874914.85,
        "trend": 185.339445,
        "fair_value": 62.52338,
        "relative_strength": -9.584906,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 108.050003,
        "volume": 36337498,
        "typical_volume": 40508879.4,
        "trend": 184.741557,
        "fair_value": 63.013476,
        "relative_strength": -20.231632,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -55.008486,
        "energy": 82.111785,
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          125.018,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 150.139999,
        "volume": 51040200,
        "typical_volume": 40304614.35,
        "trend": 185.712034,
        "fair_value": 63.798322,
        "relative_strength": 6.150261,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -39.729544,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}