{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5d63679d-7296-4179-a047-36987da8d0c5", "symbol": "USDVD", "name": "UBS S&P USA Dividend Aristocrats ESG Elite UCITS ETF USD dis", "exchange": "EBS", "country": "CH", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SSMI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 86.066, "architecture_energy": 73.044, "architecture_maturity": 35.711, "architecture_confidence": 65.786, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.74, "rotation_up": 76.99, "upward_expansion": 85.33, "deceleration": 65.12, "rotation_down": 12.67, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.6626, 4.611818, 4.495926, 4.429845 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 4.754, "trend_reference": 4.372708, "distance_from_trend": 0.087198, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4.024983, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.181123, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.938959, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.060332, "excess_performance": -0.022551, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.087198, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.03868, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.181123, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.104053, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.00939, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.010963, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.060332, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.26629, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 631, "relative_activity": 0.413811, "balance": 4.26629, "dry_up": 0.947306, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.019999, "annualized_volatility": 0.133291, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.211885 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.372708, "fair_value_reference": 4.024983, "structural_low": 4.012, "invalidation": "A sustained 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.992403, "energy": 67.319329, "activity_lines": [ 4.6131, 4.569373, 4.45845, 4.404027 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.754, "volume": 631, "typical_volume": 1524.85, "trend": 4.372708, "fair_value": 4.024983, "relative_strength": 0.938959, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.065724, "energy": 73.043676, "activity_lines": [ 4.6626, 4.611818, 4.495926, 4.429845 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }