{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5d68a3c5-d9f6-4fde-88e6-44a2a9fc749a", "symbol": "6667", "name": "Trusval Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 77.319, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -41.937, "architecture_energy": 59.369, "architecture_maturity": 12.258, "architecture_confidence": 70.386, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.74, "rotation_up": 16.67, "upward_expansion": 20.21, "deceleration": 43.45, "rotation_down": 71.09, "downward_expansion": 61.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 228.533333, 239.275788, 247.360533, 247.813022 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 222.0, "trend_reference": 247.552924, "distance_from_trend": -0.103222, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 184.905722, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.200612, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -36.997782, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.042357, "excess_performance": -0.483729, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.103222, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002881, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.200612, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.205291, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.369978, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.040439, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.042357, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.238063, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 996726, "relative_activity": 0.324245, "balance": 1.238063, "dry_up": 0.314883, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.093004, "annualized_volatility": 0.428563, "from_high_reference": -0.253965, "from_low_reference": 0.052133 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 247.552924, "fair_value_reference": 184.905722, "structural_low": 211.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.034059, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.030903, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.37409, "worst_return": -0.075916, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.091623, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.14445, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.57933, "worst_return": 0.049073, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.096859, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.145162, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.401747, "worst_return": -0.116124, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.206094, "energy": 9.998877, "activity_lines": [ 255.515719, 258.224476, 255.900376, 253.112813 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 239.0, "volume": 763265, "typical_volume": 3200589.0, "trend": 250.262651, "fair_value": 181.824511, "relative_strength": -31.54189, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -7.602047, "energy": 12.681038, "activity_lines": [ 248.666667, 254.880091, 254.600764, 252.331446 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 226.0, "volume": 1336712, "typical_volume": 3140467.75, "trend": 249.348743, "fair_value": 182.851009, "relative_strength": -33.706243, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.31807, "energy": 33.941206, "activity_lines": [ 239.533333, 249.16368, 252.140852, 250.766114 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 230.0, "volume": 775085, "typical_volume": 3096318.55, "trend": 248.424181, "fair_value": 183.897999, "relative_strength": -33.414033, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.434382, "energy": 47.252109, "activity_lines": [ 234.0, 244.533413, 250.112458, 249.517808 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 222.0, "volume": 996726, "typical_volume": 3073993.7, "trend": 247.552924, "fair_value": 184.905722, "relative_strength": -36.997782, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -41.936559, "energy": 59.36909, "activity_lines": [ 228.533333, 239.275788, 247.360533, 247.813022 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }