{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5d70848e-2e32-4678-9963-7b5beeaf810e", "symbol": "GLW", "name": "Corning Incorporated", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 1.34, "architecture_energy": 24.141, "architecture_maturity": 53.13, "architecture_confidence": 70.06, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.35, "rotation_up": 17.13, "upward_expansion": 44.76, "deceleration": 84.31, "rotation_down": 47.57, "downward_expansion": 36.42 }, "activity_lines": [ 136.184002, 147.815638, 152.262864, 146.42951 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 144.720001, "trend_reference": 134.748606, "distance_from_trend": 0.074, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 59.660483, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.425726, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 25.336719, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.453787, "excess_performance": 0.389147, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.074, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.249119, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.425726, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.900124, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.253367, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.774993, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.453787, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.36149, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 37884, "relative_activity": 1.994257, "balance": 0.36149, "dry_up": 1.99885, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.15448, "annualized_volatility": 0.698816, "from_high_reference": -0.264784, "from_low_reference": 1.689063 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 134.748606, "fair_value_reference": 59.660483, "structural_low": 101.059998, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.039705, "positive_rate": 0.727273, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": 0.01843, "regime_survival": 0.272727, "best_return": 0.134508, "worst_return": -0.180635, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.041697, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.011746, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.508762, "worst_return": -0.212243, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.020117, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.022282, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.194248, "worst_return": -0.036925, "sufficient": 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"active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.05197, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.197577, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.014447, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.128761, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.007148, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-08-08", 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132.440002, "volume": 15176, "typical_volume": 15290.2, "trend": 130.841733, "fair_value": 58.305035, "relative_strength": 23.370785, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.60505, "energy": 14.965958, "activity_lines": [ 148.704004, 156.374538, 155.100402, 146.189975 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 122.22, "volume": 64888, "typical_volume": 17757.05, "trend": 132.38547, "fair_value": 58.90797, "relative_strength": 10.250645, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": -10.322787, "energy": 25.974896, "activity_lines": [ 136.597336, 149.656002, 152.631851, 145.633734 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 144.720001, "volume": 37884, "typical_volume": 18996.55, "trend": 134.748606, "fair_value": 59.660483, "relative_strength": 25.336719, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 1.339557, "energy": 24.141222, "activity_lines": [ 136.184002, 147.815638, 152.262864, 146.42951 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }