{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5d797050-3985-4543-94e7-eda6144f926d",
    "symbol": "SP3",
    "name": "Spectur Limited",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -89.145,
    "architecture_energy": 74.43,
    "architecture_maturity": 94.997,
    "architecture_confidence": 88.769,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 16.56,
        "rotation_up": 24.2,
        "upward_expansion": 12.0,
        "deceleration": 60.54,
        "rotation_down": 66.45,
        "downward_expansion": 85.33
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.011333,
        0.011873,
        0.013167,
        0.014484
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.01,
    "trend_reference": 0.017167,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.417476,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.018853,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.469568,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -57.198928,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.62963,
    "excess_performance": -0.693335,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.417476,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.265335,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.469568,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.287393,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.571989,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.284649,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.62963,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.494,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1337292,
      "relative_activity": 2.365512,
      "balance": 0.494,
      "dry_up": 1.48573,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.111538,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.785795,
      "from_high_reference": -0.722222,
      "from_low_reference": 0.0
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.017167,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.018853,
      "structural_low": 0.01,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 40,
        "median_return": -0.052778,
        "positive_rate": 0.3,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": -0.056695,
        "regime_survival": 0.925,
        "best_return": 0.307692,
        "worst_return": -0.309091,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": -0.142857,
        "positive_rate": 0.153846,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.846154,
        "median_excess_return": -0.149378,
        "regime_survival": 0.769231,
        "best_return": 0.166667,
        "worst_return": -0.396825,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.222222,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.188322,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
        "best_return": 1.214286,
        "worst_return": -0.457143,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.298246,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.356075,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 1.142857,
        "worst_return": -0.592857,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2024-07-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.117647,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.277778,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-11-07",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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      {
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      {
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      {
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 1204095,
        "typical_volume": 674889.55,
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        "fair_value": 0.019019,
        "relative_strength": -46.456078,
        "stage": 4,
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          0.0128,
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          0.013967,
          0.015473
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.011,
        "volume": 450000,
        "typical_volume": 609889.55,
        "trend": 0.017833,
        "fair_value": 0.018929,
        "relative_strength": -51.810667,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -84.548861,
        "energy": 68.270557,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.0122,
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          0.01361,
          0.014989
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.01,
        "volume": 1337292,
        "typical_volume": 565328.8,
        "trend": 0.017167,
        "fair_value": 0.018853,
        "relative_strength": -57.198928,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 74.429987,
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          0.011333,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}