{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5d8a3dfa-288c-4ef9-bdd0-75c38741385f", "symbol": "META", "name": "Meta Platforms, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.998, "architecture_energy": 25.801, "architecture_maturity": 80.3, "architecture_confidence": 95.339, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.68, "rotation_up": 23.56, "upward_expansion": 6.6, "deceleration": 44.89, "rotation_down": 45.88, "downward_expansion": 72.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 10306.623959, 10364.742604, 10472.777408, 10588.440497 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 10157.860352, "trend_reference": 10791.664467, "distance_from_trend": -0.058731, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10325.100604, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.016197, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.8889, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.108372, "excess_performance": -0.053705, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.058731, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.03999, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.016197, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.08007, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.148889, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.088932, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.108372, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.555135, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 34483, "relative_activity": 1.231974, "balance": 0.555135, "dry_up": 1.011047, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.07829, "annualized_volatility": 0.432246, "from_high_reference": -0.316013, "from_low_reference": 0.110437 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10791.664467, "fair_value_reference": 10325.100604, "structural_low": 9147.620117, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.023871, "positive_rate": 0.434783, "directional_follow_through": 0.565217, "median_excess_return": -0.023397, "regime_survival": 0.913043, "best_return": 0.348576, "worst_return": -0.337476, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.068097, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.144599, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.451272, "worst_return": -0.394282, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.111555, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.217852, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": -0.076652, "worst_return": 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"fair_value": 10325.100604, "relative_strength": -14.8889, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.99793, "energy": 25.800804, "activity_lines": [ 10306.623959, 10364.742604, 10472.777408, 10588.440497 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }