{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5d995a17-b35f-469d-80fd-7c696f3f6081", "symbol": "FXY", "name": "INVESCO CCY SHS JAPANESE YEN TR JAPANESE YEN SHS ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 48.643, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -9.483, "architecture_energy": 10.703, "architecture_maturity": 91.216, "architecture_confidence": 61.498, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.26, "rotation_up": 33.52, "upward_expansion": 23.13, "deceleration": 41.12, "rotation_down": 23.38, "downward_expansion": 59.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 57.314667, 57.084364, 57.267857, 57.479462 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 58.24, "trend_reference": 57.843, "distance_from_trend": 0.006863, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 60.878365, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.043338, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -12.171813, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.004444, "excess_performance": -0.130069, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.006863, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010822, "read": "Falling" 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"typical_volume": 867966.9, "trend": 57.963667, "fair_value": 61.029583, "relative_strength": -12.735895, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.679302, "energy": 75.197931, "activity_lines": [ 56.708667, 56.928727, 57.300286, 57.59172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 56.04, "volume": 1271981, "typical_volume": 891798.4, "trend": 57.873667, "fair_value": 60.966571, "relative_strength": -12.503249, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.536097, "energy": 78.143095, "activity_lines": [ 56.471333, 56.726909, 57.161571, 57.467613 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 57.66, "volume": 3267990, "typical_volume": 1013551.9, "trend": 57.842667, "fair_value": 60.91625, "relative_strength": -10.466559, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.967079, "energy": 39.83011, "activity_lines": [ 56.828, 56.852545, 57.187381, 57.453828 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 58.24, "volume": 1955035, "typical_volume": 1073323.35, "trend": 57.843, "fair_value": 60.878365, "relative_strength": -12.171813, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -9.482792, "energy": 10.702752, "activity_lines": [ 57.314667, 57.084364, 57.267857, 57.479462 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }