{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5d9d1e67-06fa-4434-96ce-59f6a15d3fdf", "symbol": "NLR", "name": "VanEck Uranium and Nuclear ETF", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.828, "architecture_energy": 79.972, "architecture_maturity": 32.37, "architecture_confidence": 87.478, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.6, "rotation_up": 15.28, "upward_expansion": 18.37, "deceleration": 40.02, "rotation_down": 73.12, "downward_expansion": 94.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 1943.152002, 1994.159646, 2113.139206, 2203.162078 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 2020.0, "trend_reference": 2320.840015, "distance_from_trend": -0.129625, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1749.496159, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.154618, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.950869, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.17247, "excess_performance": -0.117804, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.129625, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.04578, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.154618, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.303249, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.159509, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.106239, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.17247, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.114818, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9634, "relative_activity": 9.493029, "balance": 1.114818, "dry_up": 2.445435, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.04541, "annualized_volatility": 0.266337, "from_high_reference": -0.326853, "from_low_reference": 0.092482 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2320.840015, "fair_value_reference": 1749.496159, 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"activity_lines": [ 2038.756673, 2097.210019, 2212.377875, 2287.660016 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1886.26001, "volume": 116, "typical_volume": 569.2, "trend": 2355.406681, "fair_value": 1737.481279, "relative_strength": -21.555825, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -89.53986, "energy": 94.556436, "activity_lines": [ 1976.120003, 2049.41329, 2172.891875, 2256.373693 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1849.0, "volume": 177, "typical_volume": 533.45, "trend": 2338.373348, "fair_value": 1742.940642, "relative_strength": -23.365679, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -87.08059, "energy": 94.162535, "activity_lines": [ 1920.502669, 2002.637287, 2133.370302, 2223.702294 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2020.0, "volume": 9634, "typical_volume": 1014.85, "trend": 2320.840015, "fair_value": 1749.496159, "relative_strength": -15.950869, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.828079, "energy": 79.971526, "activity_lines": [ 1943.152002, 1994.159646, 2113.139206, 2203.162078 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }