{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5d9e2bf5-bc69-45c3-b698-9008e2a99058", "symbol": "603658", "name": "Autobio Diagnostics Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 71.959, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -6.155, "architecture_energy": 14.94, "architecture_maturity": 30.967, "architecture_confidence": 70.697, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 62.03, "rotation_up": 40.77, "upward_expansion": 34.3, "deceleration": 44.26, "rotation_down": 16.53, "downward_expansion": 40.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 32.280667, 31.624182, 31.613159, 32.008315 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 32.43, "trend_reference": 32.771933, "distance_from_trend": -0.010434, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 39.959543, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.188429, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.964368, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.079658, "excess_performance": -0.036454, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.010434, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.041318, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.188429, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02175, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.059644, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.111763, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.079658, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.614387, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18847737, "relative_activity": 1.772386, "balance": 0.614387, "dry_up": 1.661739, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.062336, "annualized_volatility": 0.214426, "from_high_reference": -0.210551, "from_low_reference": 0.129178 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 32.771933, "fair_value_reference": 39.959543, "structural_low": 28.719999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.011811, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.018908, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.165116, "worst_return": -0.116264, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.085582, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.081822, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.276371, "worst_return": -0.107677, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.047472, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.13571, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.369093, "worst_return": -0.234151, "sufficient": false }, 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"activity_lines": [ 30.425333, 30.783474, 31.472507, 32.170851 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 32.23, "volume": 21060482, "typical_volume": 9652617.1, "trend": 32.990861, "fair_value": 40.268999, "relative_strength": -3.63253, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.093021, "energy": 28.958797, "activity_lines": [ 31.017333, 30.973218, 31.485175, 32.117756 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 31.459999, "volume": 15608193, "typical_volume": 9792569.85, "trend": 32.880019, "fair_value": 40.168346, "relative_strength": -6.732592, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.381135, "energy": 18.38189, "activity_lines": [ 31.288, 31.032906, 31.437181, 32.018991 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 33.110001, "volume": 15168022, "typical_volume": 10143226.9, "trend": 32.825458, "fair_value": 40.063613, "relative_strength": -1.847694, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -9.509049, "energy": 13.974771, "activity_lines": [ 32.044, 31.407455, 31.556674, 32.033828 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 32.43, "volume": 18847737, "typical_volume": 10634102.8, "trend": 32.771933, "fair_value": 39.959543, "relative_strength": -5.964368, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -6.154956, "energy": 14.939529, "activity_lines": [ 32.280667, 31.624182, 31.613159, 32.008315 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }