{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5d9f41d8-c058-4fb4-87d5-3edd79ac924c",
    "symbol": "ZUE",
    "name": "BMO S&P 500 Hedged to CAD Index ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 81.706,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 80.977,
    "architecture_energy": 54.2,
    "architecture_maturity": 56.095,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.582,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 21.41,
        "rotation_up": 53.09,
        "upward_expansion": 81.13,
        "deceleration": 64.96,
        "rotation_down": 27.3,
        "downward_expansion": 7.79
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        97.98831
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 103.660004,
    "trend_reference": 95.981194,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.080003,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 80.278782,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.29125,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.774082,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.108309,
    "excess_performance": -0.012113,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.080003,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.028406,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.29125,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.004009,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.017741,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.001427,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.108309,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.082998,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 63400,
      "relative_activity": 0.469595,
      "balance": 3.082998,
      "dry_up": 0.570698,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.021666,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.140841,
      "from_high_reference": -0.0048,
      "from_low_reference": 0.218526
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 80.278782,
      "structural_low": 85.07,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 39,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00271,
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        "worst_return": -0.076179,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "trend": 91.754743,
        "fair_value": 76.132573,
        "relative_strength": -6.240414,
        "stage": 3,
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        "energy": 6.122915,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "relative_strength": -3.647354,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
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        "energy": 52.675375,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "trend": 92.478705,
        "fair_value": 76.918107,
        "relative_strength": -1.91678,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
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        "direction": 81.138813,
        "energy": 80.827321,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 177307.75,
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        "relative_strength": -0.836193,
        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 179805.0,
        "trend": 93.038181,
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        "relative_strength": -1.707072,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 77.5983,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 101.586784,
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        "typical_volume": 188095.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 36200,
        "typical_volume": 186655.0,
        "trend": 93.589032,
        "fair_value": 77.995624,
        "relative_strength": -2.43135,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 74.023372,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 99.491173,
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        "typical_volume": 186330.0,
        "trend": 93.860953,
        "fair_value": 78.246919,
        "relative_strength": -3.293124,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 59.534263,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "fair_value": 78.510959,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 172155.0,
        "trend": 94.419428,
        "fair_value": 78.753684,
        "relative_strength": -3.931325,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.989162,
        "energy": 46.711429,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 101.370003,
        "volume": 8800,
        "typical_volume": 165105.0,
        "trend": 94.694797,
        "fair_value": 79.018509,
        "relative_strength": -1.824226,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.246758,
        "energy": 53.770183,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 101.43,
        "volume": 44100,
        "typical_volume": 161100.0,
        "trend": 94.993444,
        "fair_value": 79.27505,
        "relative_strength": -1.751714,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.54095,
        "energy": 57.284081,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 99.959999,
        "volume": 72000,
        "typical_volume": 159070.0,
        "trend": 95.239102,
        "fair_value": 79.519111,
        "relative_strength": -2.871708,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.09807,
        "energy": 51.166695,
        "activity_lines": [
          100.494332,
          100.27002,
          98.575257,
          96.911349
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 99.089996,
        "volume": 104600,
        "typical_volume": 145820.0,
        "trend": 95.413202,
        "fair_value": 79.75348,
        "relative_strength": -3.778733,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.782684,
        "energy": 43.928687,
        "activity_lines": [
          100.062866,
          100.078681,
          98.852344,
          97.159794
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 100.260002,
        "volume": 68200,
        "typical_volume": 135540.0,
        "trend": 95.664805,
        "fair_value": 80.004329,
        "relative_strength": -2.060697,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.793928,
        "energy": 41.753865,
        "activity_lines": [
          100.118,
          100.103192,
          99.201984,
          97.47249
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 103.660004,
        "volume": 63400,
        "typical_volume": 135010.0,
        "trend": 95.981194,
        "fair_value": 80.278782,
        "relative_strength": -1.774082,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.976581,
        "energy": 54.200399,
        "activity_lines": [
          101.197334,
          100.743882,
          99.824101,
          97.98831
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}