{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5dbdea3c-f43f-4aa2-a9dd-17d6d48dcc23",
    "symbol": "OFSA3",
    "name": "Ouro Fino Sa\u00fade Animal Participa\u00e7\u00f5es S.A.",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 51.222,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -23.883,
    "architecture_energy": 50.653,
    "architecture_maturity": 9.315,
    "architecture_confidence": 66.266,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 35.18,
        "rotation_up": 15.39,
        "upward_expansion": 25.53,
        "deceleration": 50.69,
        "rotation_down": 62.1,
        "downward_expansion": 50.53
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        26.406667,
        26.989273,
        28.379407,
        28.272136
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 26.42,
    "trend_reference": 27.562004,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.041434,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 21.568712,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.224922,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 2.316867,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.132776,
    "excess_performance": 0.189825,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.041434,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.067393,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.224922,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.369137,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.023169,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.193877,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.132776,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.251152,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 77800,
      "relative_activity": 1.345904,
      "balance": 0.251152,
      "dry_up": 1.479976,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.069004,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.292447,
      "from_high_reference": -0.238397,
      "from_low_reference": 0.332265
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 27.562004,
      "fair_value_reference": 21.568712,
      "structural_low": 22.730263,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.078688,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.027845,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.135331,
        "worst_return": -0.132,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.026079,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.011941,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.126472,
        "worst_return": -0.102295,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.046829,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.005997,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.26233,
        "worst_return": -0.162146,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.201106,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.141629,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.15369,
        "worst_return": -0.248523,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.031696,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.042344,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-12-27",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.15105,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.19891,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.027313,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-02",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.015727,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.000449,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-10-03",
        "end": "2025-10-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.029038,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-10-31",
        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.087655,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-11-14",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.037662,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-12-12",
        "end": "2026-01-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.011379,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-09",
        "end": "2026-06-05",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.281984,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-06-12",
        "end": "2026-07-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.13799,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-07-24",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.016154,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "typical_volume": 40885.0,
        "trend": 24.005354,
        "fair_value": 20.905906,
        "relative_strength": 10.909778,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.151989,
        "energy": 94.797088,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.035699,
          28.539759,
          26.627416,
          25.465428
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 31.5,
        "volume": 185600,
        "typical_volume": 49590.0,
        "trend": 24.358269,
        "fair_value": 20.965157,
        "relative_strength": 12.687493,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.981445,
        "energy": 90.379712,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.783796,
          29.302052,
          27.22315,
          25.948954
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 33.540001,
        "volume": 51700,
        "typical_volume": 50390.0,
        "trend": 24.762104,
        "fair_value": 21.040625,
        "relative_strength": 21.704539,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.367475,
        "energy": 89.036685,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.956668,
          30.301499,
          27.970751,
          26.541324
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 32.259998,
        "volume": 26700,
        "typical_volume": 48720.0,
        "trend": 25.144147,
        "fair_value": 21.108685,
        "relative_strength": 21.131508,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.63197,
        "energy": 66.973531,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.282,
          30.898631,
          28.541738,
          27.025059
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 30.629999,
        "volume": 33900,
        "typical_volume": 44455.0,
        "trend": 25.488303,
        "fair_value": 21.164585,
        "relative_strength": 15.615392,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.06804,
        "energy": 62.943995,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.823333,
          31.069077,
          28.91046,
          27.378985
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 30.68,
        "volume": 31200,
        "typical_volume": 45225.0,
        "trend": 25.821791,
        "fair_value": 21.223717,
        "relative_strength": 17.325083,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 53.877608,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.418666,
          31.179372,
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          27.713933
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 29.9,
        "volume": 27400,
        "typical_volume": 45640.0,
        "trend": 26.068869,
        "fair_value": 21.272198,
        "relative_strength": 17.475871,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.813136,
        "energy": 36.914163,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.811333,
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          29.469111,
          27.977043
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 29.35,
        "volume": 9800,
        "typical_volume": 45120.0,
        "trend": 26.316591,
        "fair_value": 21.316925,
        "relative_strength": 13.955748,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.959713,
        "energy": 24.983474,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.127333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 28.370001,
        "volume": 5400,
        "typical_volume": 42860.0,
        "trend": 26.534809,
        "fair_value": 21.353773,
        "relative_strength": 11.931451,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 31.65449,
        "energy": 25.329216,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.396,
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          29.639366,
          28.321207
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 27.5,
        "volume": 4200,
        "typical_volume": 42460.0,
        "trend": 26.712324,
        "fair_value": 21.375912,
        "relative_strength": 5.694349,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 12.016743,
        "energy": 21.377386,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.634,
          29.742909,
          29.561953,
          28.383478
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 28.799999,
        "volume": 400,
        "typical_volume": 40125.0,
        "trend": 26.914196,
        "fair_value": 21.416315,
        "relative_strength": 9.952971,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 10.518541,
        "energy": 19.620085,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.514,
          29.428909,
          29.58846,
          28.518166
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 27.4,
        "volume": 197300,
        "typical_volume": 49255.0,
        "trend": 27.074461,
        "fair_value": 21.453507,
        "relative_strength": 2.594995,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -1.92006,
        "energy": 18.558727,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.052667,
          28.910182,
          29.457013,
          28.549508
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 25.299999,
        "volume": 159800,
        "typical_volume": 53360.0,
        "trend": 27.182755,
        "fair_value": 21.47604,
        "relative_strength": -2.845752,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -38.476389,
        "energy": 38.030592,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.058,
          28.084182,
          29.110059,
          28.435027
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 26.0,
        "volume": 47500,
        "typical_volume": 53445.0,
        "trend": 27.303276,
        "fair_value": 21.505342,
        "relative_strength": -0.303354,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -30.203341,
        "energy": 51.136007,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.566666,
          27.535273,
          28.824594,
          28.35872
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 27.0,
        "volume": 57100,
        "typical_volume": 55260.0,
        "trend": 27.458778,
        "fair_value": 21.536032,
        "relative_strength": 1.296472,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -23.949604,
        "energy": 49.851693,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.566666,
          27.282,
          28.630044,
          28.339154
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 26.42,
        "volume": 77800,
        "typical_volume": 57805.0,
        "trend": 27.562004,
        "fair_value": 21.568712,
        "relative_strength": 2.316867,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -23.88337,
        "energy": 50.652821,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.406667,
          26.989273,
          28.379407,
          28.272136
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}