{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5dbe32cb-f119-4ad6-97bf-9a4997c93246",
    "symbol": "YUM",
    "name": "Yum! Brands, Inc.",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch",
    "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch",
    "confidence": 70.974,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -27.489,
    "architecture_energy": 24.487,
    "architecture_maturity": 36.246,
    "architecture_confidence": 62.333,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 56.36,
        "rotation_up": 22.68,
        "upward_expansion": 12.47,
        "deceleration": 61.22,
        "rotation_down": 59.41,
        "downward_expansion": 47.14
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        133.21,
        135.208181,
        134.402954,
        134.583338
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 130.899994,
    "trend_reference": 134.680996,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.028074,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 123.726119,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.057982,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -18.426673,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.035657,
    "excess_performance": -0.209904,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.028074,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.01734,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.057982,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.023461,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.184267,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.057175,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.035657,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.760811,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 0.760811,
      "dry_up": 2.852449,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.046125,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.206002,
      "from_high_reference": -0.11194,
      "from_low_reference": 0.130562
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 134.680996,
      "fair_value_reference": 123.726119,
      "structural_low": 126.833438,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": 0.014696,
        "positive_rate": 0.6875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6875,
        "median_excess_return": 0.008741,
        "regime_survival": 0.5625,
        "best_return": 0.083163,
        "worst_return": -0.041635,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.039292,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": 0.0382,
        "regime_survival": 0.142857,
        "best_return": 0.077936,
        "worst_return": -0.074829,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.050203,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.022402,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.138629,
        "worst_return": -0.012603,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.073968,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.017126,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.101397,
        "worst_return": 0.053863,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.025999,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.072513,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.151082,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.028532,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.002043,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.03904,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-09-26",
        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.024287,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-12-05",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.074412,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-05-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.049388,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-06-05",
        "end": "2026-06-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.017679,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-06-26",
        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-07-03",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.005903,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.02819,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.023499,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 111.500885,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 113.5,
        "trend": 114.593557,
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        "relative_strength": 0.158857,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 24.393314,
        "activity_lines": [
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 34.742621,
        "energy": 19.053455,
        "activity_lines": [
          135.391745,
          135.562295,
          135.353339,
          133.797977
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 132.203094,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 28.4,
        "trend": 131.501403,
        "fair_value": 122.246944,
        "relative_strength": -12.709133,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 10.504196,
        "energy": 7.514405,
        "activity_lines": [
          134.357589,
          134.821933,
          135.156535,
          133.868828
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 129.667404,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 28.4,
        "trend": 131.746157,
        "fair_value": 122.312855,
        "relative_strength": -13.605091,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -3.799836,
        "energy": 13.415457,
        "activity_lines": [
          132.567696,
          133.798621,
          134.712002,
          133.750505
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 132.501404,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 28.4,
        "trend": 132.087017,
        "fair_value": 122.437855,
        "relative_strength": -13.140779,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 7.095552,
        "energy": 16.855261,
        "activity_lines": [
          132.186515,
          133.397252,
          134.539684,
          133.799231
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 126.949997,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 26.2,
        "trend": 132.385469,
        "fair_value": 122.498115,
        "relative_strength": -18.571499,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -34.3945,
        "energy": 47.18151,
        "activity_lines": [
          130.210091,
          132.11219,
          133.813345,
          133.46781
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 130.100006,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 26.2,
        "trend": 132.506923,
        "fair_value": 122.586081,
        "relative_strength": -15.248317,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -20.208238,
        "energy": 45.170685,
        "activity_lines": [
          129.822809,
          131.551415,
          133.402727,
          133.320361
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 133.699997,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 22.3,
        "trend": 132.758214,
        "fair_value": 122.673379,
        "relative_strength": -14.890144,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -21.901662,
        "energy": 25.840026,
        "activity_lines": [
          130.961347,
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          133.397334
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 132.399994,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 22.3,
        "trend": 132.823532,
        "fair_value": 122.771881,
        "relative_strength": -18.755206,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -21.431355,
        "energy": 19.748923,
        "activity_lines": [
          131.566758,
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          133.183042,
          133.374223
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 136.399994,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 21.55,
        "trend": 133.013987,
        "fair_value": 122.886405,
        "relative_strength": -14.277897,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 17.235122,
        "energy": 14.903102,
        "activity_lines": [
          133.32333,
          132.370866,
          133.366267,
          133.604962
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 144.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 21.55,
        "trend": 133.656894,
        "fair_value": 123.0773,
        "relative_strength": -11.262895,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.134166,
        "energy": 49.795922,
        "activity_lines": [
          137.353331,
          134.480932,
          134.270161,
          134.313737
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 144.850006,
        "volume": 348,
        "typical_volume": 38.95,
        "trend": 134.272091,
        "fair_value": 123.283262,
        "relative_strength": -9.232089,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.939863,
        "energy": 80.368026,
        "activity_lines": [
          140.53,
          136.582583,
          135.217558,
          135.035874
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 134.800003,
        "volume": 740,
        "typical_volume": 75.9,
        "trend": 134.402289,
        "fair_value": 123.407367,
        "relative_strength": -13.481508,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.57848,
        "energy": 59.378705,
        "activity_lines": [
          139.373335,
          136.67764,
          135.172212,
          135.069932
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 131.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 72.95,
        "trend": 134.430546,
        "fair_value": 123.502004,
        "relative_strength": -16.701242,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 24.133315,
        "energy": 27.299747,
        "activity_lines": [
          136.876668,
          136.034571,
          134.799236,
          134.85043
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 134.050003,
        "volume": 215,
        "typical_volume": 83.7,
        "trend": 134.659369,
        "fair_value": 123.620701,
        "relative_strength": -14.326277,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 18.326613,
        "energy": 8.962542,
        "activity_lines": [
          135.490002,
          135.921819,
          134.738328,
          134.825879
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 130.899994,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 83.7,
        "trend": 134.680996,
        "fair_value": 123.726119,
        "relative_strength": -18.426673,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -27.488617,
        "energy": 24.486841,
        "activity_lines": [
          133.21,
          135.208181,
          134.402954,
          134.583338
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}