{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5dce7982-d01d-49ee-b817-5d5934ca3291", "symbol": "SUWS", "name": "iShares MSCI World SRI UCITS ETF USD (Dist)", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 89.659, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 81.104, "architecture_energy": 52.529, "architecture_maturity": 78.374, "architecture_confidence": 54.158, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.18, "rotation_up": 46.86, "upward_expansion": 74.61, "deceleration": 71.09, "rotation_down": 29.11, "downward_expansion": 12.61 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.646833, 11.635886, 11.499043, 11.298305 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 11.9475, "trend_reference": 11.092396, "distance_from_trend": 0.077089, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.381886, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.273465, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.422336, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.102205, "excess_performance": 0.050969, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.077089, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037466, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.273465, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.024773, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.024223, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.009316, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.102205, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.642666, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 828052, "relative_activity": 1.391939, "balance": 0.642666, "dry_up": 1.442882, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.019624, "annualized_volatility": 0.140302, "from_high_reference": -0.000627, "from_low_reference": 0.237164 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.092396, "fair_value_reference": 9.381886, "structural_low": 9.91, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 41, "median_return": 0.016432, "positive_rate": 0.658537, "directional_follow_through": 0.658537, "median_excess_return": 0.00817, "regime_survival": 0.804878, "best_return": 0.093384, "worst_return": -0.074939, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.009805, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.017228, "regime_survival": 0.642857, "best_return": 0.094495, "worst_return": -0.114006, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.083133, "positive_rate": 0.875, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": 0.040445, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.11552, "worst_return": -0.195198, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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11.592757, 11.313363, 11.146591 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 11.5275, "volume": 749227, "typical_volume": 509561.55, "trend": 10.995571, "fair_value": 9.310126, "relative_strength": 1.560317, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.956873, "energy": 66.645135, "activity_lines": [ 11.640333, 11.596492, 11.358602, 11.183166 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.46, "volume": 798825, "typical_volume": 525805.35, "trend": 11.027057, "fair_value": 9.332801, "relative_strength": -0.255006, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.363586, "energy": 48.357276, "activity_lines": [ 11.576667, 11.583923, 11.394826, 11.213129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.455, "volume": 1057325, "typical_volume": 560405.3, "trend": 11.055218, "fair_value": 9.355267, "relative_strength": -1.440176, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.169689, "energy": 36.440713, "activity_lines": [ 11.525833, 11.565923, 11.4261, 11.240738 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.9475, "volume": 828052, "typical_volume": 594890.85, "trend": 11.092396, "fair_value": 9.381886, "relative_strength": 2.422336, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.104271, "energy": 52.52906, "activity_lines": [ 11.646833, 11.635886, 11.499043, 11.298305 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }