{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5dd34a0e-60fe-4b31-988f-bed5268dc8ff", "symbol": "002114", "name": "Yunnan Luoping Zinc&Electricity Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.644, "architecture_energy": 50.758, "architecture_maturity": 44.21, "architecture_confidence": 95.419, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.26, "rotation_up": 22.73, "upward_expansion": 7.77, "deceleration": 57.92, "rotation_down": 55.71, "downward_expansion": 81.1 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.621333, 6.713818, 7.336667, 7.821333 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 7.22, "trend_reference": 8.458667, "distance_from_trend": -0.146438, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.813013, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.059737, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.311242, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.285149, "excess_performance": -0.292548, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.146438, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.055601, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.059737, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.335956, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.153112, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.100896, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.285149, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.223091, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 47982715, "relative_activity": 1.036561, "balance": 0.223091, "dry_up": 0.886994, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.116663, "annualized_volatility": 0.456106, "from_high_reference": -0.396321, "from_low_reference": 0.282416 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.458667, "fair_value_reference": 6.813013, "structural_low": 5.63, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.02518, "positive_rate": 0.722222, "directional_follow_through": 0.277778, "median_excess_return": 0.030768, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.160473, "worst_return": -0.186495, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.053599, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.000548, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.313596, "worst_return": -0.19871, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.005161, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.066033, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.335526, "worst_return": -0.164835, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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54891810.15, "trend": 8.643667, "fair_value": 6.828077, "relative_strength": -26.364304, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.24578, "energy": 85.457737, "activity_lines": [ 6.587333, 7.030727, 7.745714, 8.198108 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.1, "volume": 43985202, "typical_volume": 49965495.95, "trend": 8.567667, "fair_value": 6.819744, "relative_strength": -26.473288, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.532316, "energy": 80.176115, "activity_lines": [ 6.356667, 6.78, 7.542048, 8.034 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.55, "volume": 32526100, "typical_volume": 47430670.6, "trend": 8.498667, "fair_value": 6.813333, "relative_strength": -19.419684, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.995059, "energy": 67.717753, "activity_lines": [ 6.368667, 6.665818, 7.400381, 7.903828 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.22, "volume": 47982715, "typical_volume": 46290316.35, "trend": 8.458667, "fair_value": 6.813013, "relative_strength": -15.311242, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.643742, "energy": 50.757851, "activity_lines": [ 6.621333, 6.713818, 7.336667, 7.821333 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }