{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5de3ddd0-bf90-438b-8485-8e4073532a8a", "symbol": "6285", "name": "WNC Corporation", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 10.488, "architecture_energy": 11.434, "architecture_maturity": 50.604, "architecture_confidence": 76.324, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.51, "rotation_up": 18.85, "upward_expansion": 40.47, "deceleration": 85.41, "rotation_down": 32.58, "downward_expansion": 32.14 }, "activity_lines": [ 237.1, 242.030969, 250.304889, 239.512235 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 245.0, "trend_reference": 219.539264, "distance_from_trend": 0.115973, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 141.604531, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.730171, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 7.806118, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.423599, "excess_performance": -0.017773, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.115973, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.286315, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.730171, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.280241, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.078061, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.215777, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.423599, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.895587, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 35425225, "relative_activity": 0.361734, "balance": 1.895587, "dry_up": 0.38856, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.149118, "annualized_volatility": 0.757823, "from_high_reference": -0.259644, "from_low_reference": 1.595103 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 219.539264, "fair_value_reference": 141.604531, "structural_low": 147.021713, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.059028, "positive_rate": 0.777778, "directional_follow_through": 0.777778, "median_excess_return": 0.010523, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.296559, "worst_return": -0.139535, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.060533, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.044563, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.455378, "worst_return": 0.003757, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.076845, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.118176, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.717299, "worst_return": -0.170624, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-12-20", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.061818, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.141343, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.003922, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.089207, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": 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31.093399, "energy": 16.278387, "activity_lines": [ 247.67252, 255.952875, 252.440865, 235.075454 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 222.0, "volume": 38313948, "typical_volume": 104817491.35, "trend": 210.276816, "fair_value": 139.843678, "relative_strength": 3.957986, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 5.798996, "energy": 9.640116, "activity_lines": [ 239.366667, 247.924978, 250.930349, 236.095604 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 233.0, "volume": 45783817, "typical_volume": 102657375.05, "trend": 214.765407, "fair_value": 140.70999, "relative_strength": 6.405331, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.058331, "energy": 13.478914, "activity_lines": [ 235.4, 243.15332, 250.194705, 237.561616 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 245.0, "volume": 35425225, "typical_volume": 97931608.95, "trend": 219.539264, "fair_value": 141.604531, "relative_strength": 7.806118, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.488171, "energy": 11.434306, "activity_lines": [ 237.1, 242.030969, 250.304889, 239.512235 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }