{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5de644ab-25cc-43f9-be55-005cf858fc28", "symbol": "GIB", "name": "CGI Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 63.271, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 10.098, "architecture_energy": 20.637, "architecture_maturity": 11.199, "architecture_confidence": 58.817, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.35, "rotation_up": 42.69, "upward_expansion": 33.35, "deceleration": 40.99, "rotation_down": 14.5, "downward_expansion": 41.69 }, "activity_lines": [ 71.259333, 68.929636, 68.205856, 69.280576 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 74.74, "trend_reference": 72.104787, "distance_from_trend": 0.036547, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 97.118705, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.230426, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -17.257203, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.093273, "excess_performance": -0.218898, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.036547, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.094013, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.230426, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.089094, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.172572, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.151728, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.093273, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.803345, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2444884, "relative_activity": 0.998428, "balance": 1.803345, "dry_up": 1.091865, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.069925, "annualized_volatility": 0.38404, "from_high_reference": -0.229966, "from_low_reference": 0.253396 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 72.104787, "fair_value_reference": 97.118705, "structural_low": 59.63, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.009963, "positive_rate": 0.266667, "directional_follow_through": 0.266667, "median_excess_return": -0.009511, "regime_survival": 0.466667, "best_return": 0.048241, "worst_return": -0.166901, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.041272, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.039648, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.129309, "worst_return": -0.241579, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.073994, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.102953, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.110065, "worst_return": -0.310572, 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.935403, "energy": 37.052728, "activity_lines": [ 65.59, 65.898659, 67.511405, 70.109858 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 68.12, "volume": 2289281, "typical_volume": 2352490.6, "trend": 74.22023, "fair_value": 97.661257, "relative_strength": -23.810321, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.327699, "energy": 23.057286, "activity_lines": [ 66.565333, 66.262545, 67.409137, 69.664291 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 66.43, "volume": 1847196, "typical_volume": 2311272.6, "trend": 73.31797, "fair_value": 97.457291, "relative_strength": -24.42154, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.983969, "energy": 17.491983, "activity_lines": [ 66.882, 66.318364, 67.170184, 69.161695 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 73.15, "volume": 4113383, "typical_volume": 2416181.3, "trend": 72.729382, "fair_value": 97.294114, "relative_strength": -16.921046, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -7.32932, "energy": 11.638207, "activity_lines": [ 69.095333, 67.535636, 67.61633, 69.150858 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 74.74, "volume": 2444884, "typical_volume": 2448733.3, "trend": 72.104787, "fair_value": 97.118705, "relative_strength": -17.257203, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 10.098001, "energy": 20.636701, "activity_lines": [ 71.259333, 68.929636, 68.205856, 69.280576 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }