{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5dee8d35-50d8-4db3-9661-1eb4dcf3ef20", "symbol": "600560", "name": "Beijing AriTime Intelligent Control Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.755, "architecture_energy": 62.575, "architecture_maturity": 87.253, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.88, "rotation_up": 24.34, "upward_expansion": 11.66, "deceleration": 60.41, "rotation_down": 58.25, "downward_expansion": 84.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.628582, 10.861917, 11.894395, 12.787077 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 10.97, "trend_reference": 14.049292, "distance_from_trend": -0.219178, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 14.781811, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.257872, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -27.707991, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.343507, "excess_performance": -0.300303, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.219178, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.118669, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.257872, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.248576, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.27708, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.10325, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.343507, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.400718, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11451050, "relative_activity": 0.976767, "balance": 0.400718, "dry_up": 1.091868, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.092052, "annualized_volatility": 0.299473, "from_high_reference": -0.410849, "from_low_reference": 0.130928 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.049292, "fair_value_reference": 14.781811, "structural_low": 9.7, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.00694, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.018583, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.135666, "worst_return": -0.160054, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.023557, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.016974, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.110339, "worst_return": -0.242762, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.083645, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.035185, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.113277, "worst_return": 0.054012, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"relative_strength": -32.533587, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.157199, "energy": 70.826142, "activity_lines": [ 10.52463, 11.123872, 12.319907, 13.235007 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.72, "volume": 13132500, "typical_volume": 11631770.95, "trend": 14.228292, "fair_value": 14.794664, "relative_strength": -28.051952, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.264081, "energy": 66.10448, "activity_lines": [ 10.528041, 10.937531, 12.082675, 12.997289 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.97, "volume": 11451050, "typical_volume": 11723423.55, "trend": 14.049292, "fair_value": 14.781811, "relative_strength": -27.707991, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.7549, "energy": 62.575095, "activity_lines": [ 10.628582, 10.861917, 11.894395, 12.787077 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }