{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5e0693f5-238b-4f75-a51d-0c29b11f8278", "symbol": "6552", "name": "JMC Electronics Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 85.998, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.9, "architecture_energy": 64.999, "architecture_maturity": 12.254, "architecture_confidence": 84.527, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.98, "rotation_up": 10.4, "upward_expansion": 14.34, "deceleration": 37.98, "rotation_down": 68.47, "downward_expansion": 87.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 24.69, 25.770909, 27.78, 28.143441 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 24.85, "trend_reference": 28.503333, "distance_from_trend": -0.128172, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 34.15563, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.272448, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -34.315089, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.147513, "excess_performance": -0.493245, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.128172, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02193, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.272448, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.181205, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.343151, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.122788, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.147513, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.295101, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 334039, "relative_activity": 0.195265, "balance": 1.295101, "dry_up": 0.366882, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.128154, "annualized_volatility": 0.45347, "from_high_reference": -0.346053, "from_low_reference": 0.094714 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28.503333, "fair_value_reference": 34.15563, "structural_low": 22.700001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.034146, "positive_rate": 0.310345, "directional_follow_through": 0.689655, "median_excess_return": -0.028222, "regime_survival": 0.862069, "best_return": 0.253644, "worst_return": -0.1313, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.085366, "positive_rate": 0.272727, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": -0.068329, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.566715, "worst_return": -0.270667, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.072087, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.134437, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.443329, "worst_return": -0.335897, "sufficient": 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29.825455, 29.812381, 29.407419 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 25.299999, "volume": 734441, "typical_volume": 1713190.25, "trend": 28.656667, "fair_value": 34.406549, "relative_strength": -33.808136, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.121814, "energy": 30.611878, "activity_lines": [ 27.29, 28.892727, 29.440952, 29.191828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 24.1, "volume": 1063763, "typical_volume": 1726114.9, "trend": 28.625, "fair_value": 34.338983, "relative_strength": -35.499988, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -32.500935, "energy": 51.090007, "activity_lines": [ 25.926666, 27.798182, 28.964762, 28.897849 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 24.4, "volume": 578180, "typical_volume": 1713173.85, "trend": 28.596667, "fair_value": 34.27209, "relative_strength": -35.632547, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -38.622258, "energy": 60.890244, "activity_lines": [ 25.016667, 26.893636, 28.528095, 28.625269 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 24.85, "volume": 534518, "typical_volume": 1716192.8, "trend": 28.571667, "fair_value": 34.212142, "relative_strength": -35.930666, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.544036, "energy": 68.775973, "activity_lines": [ 24.7, 26.259091, 28.148571, 28.383548 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 24.85, "volume": 334039, "typical_volume": 1710699.4, "trend": 28.503333, "fair_value": 34.15563, "relative_strength": -34.315089, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.900197, "energy": 64.9986, "activity_lines": [ 24.69, 25.770909, 27.78, 28.143441 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }